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Spring Weather

Being relatively new to the Phoenix area (2.5 years), I have noticed that the weather people don't seem to have a whole lot of information on these "wind events" as the cold fronts skirt the area. For example, I am scheduled to go to an outdoor event on Sunday afternoon. I watched several weathercasts and wasn't really sure if I should change my plans. I tend to just play it by ear. But, on several occasions in the past, it's suddenly started raining (when rain wasn't even in the forecast).

The weather people just seem to be repeating the NWS advisories, rather than actually trying to FORECAST the weather. It really can be annoying at times! Any comments???
 
I think you summed up your problem in the first clause: you're relatively new to the Phoenix area. You don't know how weather works around here, so immediately you assume that the weather forecasters don't know anything.

Take it from a transplant from westen New York who has lived here a while and understands something about meteorology: this isn't Seattle, or any other place you've lived. The one thing that makes rainy weather more predictable in most places is humidity. You don't have that here, so any moisture from storms will likely just make the atmosphere more humid, so no rain. Then again, you may get lucky and it spits a drop or two. Or you might really hit the jackpot and actually get a soaking. You might get rain, but a mile or two away from you, they don't get a drop. The reason why the weather forecasters can't predict it is because it simply can't be predicted. Period.

That's how weather works around here.

Don't change your plans. If you'd been listening to channel 5, you'd have heard 10%, meaning there's 9 out of 10 chances it won't rain. Those are good odds. And even if it does rain, it will usually be over with quickly. We get very few all-day rain events here, even during the monsoon.
 
In fact, I did listen to Channel 5, but apparently I missed the 10%. I usually lose it about the time that they've read the 12th high temperature in Arizona. :D

My reference to Seattle was simply that it is also VERY difficult to forecast (how much rain, when it will rain, etc.), but the weather people do make the effort. Here, I feel that they're phoning it in most of the time. Why not explicitly put the change of rain on the seven-day forecast? After all, it only rains once every 122 days! ;)

I've actually find myself watching Caribe on the weekend just because she's beautiful to watch.
 
Actually, you never referred to Seattle in this thread. I inserted it based on your several past posts (Phoenix sucks because... / Seattle is much better because...)

I can't remember the last time you had something good to say about Phoenix and I wonder why you live here if you hate it so much.

Unlike you, I don't feel that the weather forecasters are just phoning it in. At least not on channels 5 or 12. You might have a case with channel 3, since they hired a comedian to do their weather. I've never been much impressed with either Dave Munsey or Jayme King over at channel 10, and like almost everyone else in the Valley, I don't watch channel 15, so I don't know much about Bill Bellis or Kaley O'Kelly, other than the fact that they both have alliterative names, which is kinda weird.
 
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