XTalker said:
thebroker, wouldn't you say the big problem today for station owners is debt service? Don't you long for the days of reasonable prices when profit could be put back into the product instead of sent to some lender?
It's funny I happened to read that question this morning...I happen to be in just the mood to answer it, as well as give my opinion, whether anybody asked or not, about a couple of related issues. So here goes...
I would say debt service is a HUGE problem. That, and there's just a genuine lack of talented radio managers out there these days. When radio consolidation began, most of the larger radio groups surrendered their companies to the Wall Street gods. They loved the endless supply of money Wall Street could provide. Problem is, Wall Street expected radio stations to perform just like a normal "merchandise-on-shelves" company would. Well, it doesn't. Now, every time you pick up a trade-publication, all you hear is doom and gloom from some stupid stock market analyst who probably wouldn't know good radio if it slapped him on the ear.
Today's high asking prices are also, at least in part, a result of consolidation. Companies were routinely paying as much as twelve to fourteen times cash flow for stations. Hey, they had the money to spend, in the form of practically limitless lines of credit with the big Wall Street investment banks. Problem is, that money's gotta be paid back eventually. When you over-pay initially for a station, you start out behind the curve, obviously. The solution? Well, on Wall Street, you cut expenses, of course. Problem is, cutting expenses in radio means cutting back on local, relevant content...what people listen to radio for in the first place. Then guess what happens? Yup, ratings shrink as listeners go to other stations still providing the service they want, or they leave radio all together. Then, advertisers jump ship or spend less money. So the net result is that you have a note payment big enough to choke a horse, and now you have less incoming revenue to pay it with. Of course, Wall Street has the solution...restructure the debt! That's why you get into the situation we have now where every time an ad buyer at Home Depot gets indigestion after eating onions on his Philly Sandwich at lunch, you hear about doom and gloom and the end of radio from Wall Street.
Radio can be a hugely profitable business. However, the business model is dramatically different than any other business I've ever personally experienced. I'm blessed to have had the opportunity to buy my stations free-and-clear. I don't have debt to service. However, I have plenty of friends in the radio business who do. A note payment can truly choke an owner these days, especially in a small market. I stopped taking all the trade pubs a while back, simply because I got tired of hearing the Wall Street morons telling me my business is headed to hell in a handbasket. Guess what...I don't owe them any money, and I don't care how they think I should run my radio stations. If radio station owners would bite the bullet and stop buying stations they don't have the managers to run properly, they'd have the freedom to have the same opinion as me. Instead, a whole lot of folks are stuck running their stations the way the investment bankers on their boards say they should.
This, of course, is just my opinion. Some folks may see it differently. Debt has a very valid place in local broadcasting. It can be a great tool to help good, local owners buy stations. However, debt is BAD in the sense that it has allowed a whole lot of companies to over-extend themselves. When you over-extend yourself, you do a dozen things poorly, instead of doing four things very well. I think this pretty much sums up corporate radio these days, for the most part.
As an aside...just before I pressed the "Post" button this morning, I got the daily RBR update in my email inbox. I honestly normally delete it without reading it, because the pessimism they are famous for makes me want to scream. However, the headline "No Magic Bullet For Radio" caught my eye. The first half of the first sentence? "Wall Street has a negative view of the radio business...". Pardon my frankness, but Wall Street can kiss my ass. When Wall Street gets up at 4am in the morning to prep for local news and record the obituaries, delivers a three-hour morning show with at least a hundred phone calls, deals with an hour of Tradio, does the music and commercial logs for two stations, sells a couple thousand dollars worth of advertising, four dollars at a time, makes sure all the part-timers show up to run their appropriate ballgames while not destroying any of the equipment, and deals with at least three phone calls from some poor lady who just lost her kitty and is convinced that WFXY is the ONLY hope for saving it, then goes home at night and sits down on the couch only to get a call from the alarm company because the tower site on top of the mountain has a power outage, then Wall Street can tell me what I'm doing wrong with my business. Until then, though, I really don't give a damn what Wall Street has to say.
How's that for a rant?
