Dr. Bob said:You are correct that people don't care what multipath or pre-emphasis, they care about content and the experience. Using your logic, FM wouldn't have happened because, hey, it wasn't that much better than AM (and it took decades for it to be widely accepted), and FM stereo would not have happened because there's a big noise penalty over mono and most people won't notice or care. I have heard and continue to hear from listeners that get an auto with and HD radio and lament when they must switch cars back to a standard radio; some miss the sub-channels but many comment about the "clarity" of HD verses the analog FM.
I'm smart enough to know I won't change your mind (and most others on this board) but if, as you say, the system is dead, why are more automakers including it in their vehicles? Do you think they all have been "hoodwinked" by iBiquity? You are entitled to you own opinion but not your own facts.
Your main point is spot on. FM, as we know it, wasn't available until after WWII. Within 25 years it was already the dominant medium in many markets. The first 20 years saw slow, but steady growth, then it exploded in popularity once enough receivers were available AND owners began programming competitive formats. By 1972, some popular formatted FM stations were drawing 30+ shares. HD may actually be ahead of the FM curve at this point.
I think the analogy to stereo might be a good one, but for a different reason. It's a fact that most listeners are not aware when a station is mono. Although I'm sure that there are listeners that hear the difference and like the sound of HD, for most folks, the difference is nearly unnoticed, much like when stereo is turned off and almost nobody notices. If analog and digital were both processed similarly, I'd bet that 99% of the listeners would say that either is acceptable. Do some find HD to be better than FM? Of course there are some that do. There are also some that dislike the coding artifacts and prefer analog. The point is simply that there's far, far less difference between FM and HD than there was between AM and FM. Comparing AM to FM, the quality difference is obvious and compelling in favor of FM.
So, with a nod to those that tune in to HD because they like the sound, I think HD's lifeline is multi-formats, but only if stations program something compelling on those channels.
It now remains to be seen where HD will be in 2025.