Re: Who Killed Radio
SirRoxalot said:
I sounds like grandpa, and you sound like an apologist for the practices of the consolidators who are drowning in debt.
"Immediacy" is exactly what radio needs to resurrect if its going to remain a viable medium. Will it sound like it did five years ago, or ten years ago, or twenty years ago? No. One thing is for sure - voice tracking and syndication ARE like "listening to somebody else's iPod". In fact, syndication is only a few years away from NOT NEEDING RADIO FOR DISTRIBUTION. Why would radio want to build an audience for programming that won't need radio anyway?
Carry on with your current practices. They're SO successful and forward-looking that bankruptcy looms over your head like the sword of Damocles. There are people out there who will LOVE to compete with you once stations start selling for 20% of what the consolidators paid for them a few years ago.
Radio's epitaph, it seems to me was written long before the ubiquity of technological advances over the last decade. Things like the internet, and fragmented formats and alternative platforms are not the problem. They're not helping, and they are threatening the economic model, but the real problem is deeper than that, I think, and it's possible there may be no solution.
Plenty of radio owners enjoyed comfortable profits at a healthy rate long before the excessive pyramid schemes of the 90s began to mushroom. The old model of mom & pops, or radio stations that were part of a large family of business enterprises within a corporation portfolio --15 percent profits would've been just fine but certain ambitious parties began to realize they could put out a more mediocre product and make more money rather than provide a great radio station.
The seeds of what we're seeing now were planted when radio went from being a business to being an investment, when the focus moved from sustainable growth to maximizing quarterly profits and placating investors at any cost. No business grows forever but no business could support the outrageous prices investors paid for stations and groups over the last 15 years. Not that this mattered to the greedy short-timers who were making money hand over fist, but when the bubble burst and revenues shrank, it was the diamonds-in-the-teeth crowd that got caught, stuck with a heavy debt load that was unsustainable despite draconian cost-cutting measures.
It's been said that radio makes the mistake of being a one-way conversation box that doesn't communicate with its audience, that doesn't reach out to its customers. We often accuse broadcasters of this self-important attitude. I would postulate that corporate entities are equally guilty of the same malfeasance.
Corporate broadcasters were so busy flipping radio properties for higher and higher prices, they had little interest in using the nineties to put some of their profit into R&D and try to anticipate what was coming in the age of digitization. They never worked to make their product better and more essential --in fact, in some cases, they resisted the idea-- and it was at that critical moment before the internet arrived that all they did was take profits and they did it because the analysts on Wall Street said this was a very, very lucrative sector and we're going to take every dollar that we can out of it. That might be how you take care of investors but it's not how you take care of your customers, be they listeners or advertisers, and it's the customer that grows your business, not the investor. This has happened with dozens of industries and economic sectors: Record companies, newspaper companies, banking, real estate. The result is a group of people who managed to turn a thriving business into a penny stock. And now they're sitting around, putz in hand and not a pot to piss in wondering, "Well, what do we do now?" I know: Fire more people! Renegotiate the debt load. Come up with a smoke and mirrors package to head off any impending threats from Congress about localization or consolidation. Maybe we can find a buyer! These solutions are destined to be failures because they're old school solutions of a different era, just like the radio some accuse others of longing for. If anyone is mired in the past, it's the owners.
It's a facile argument to claim that people want to turn back the clock but it seems to me contributors on here are neither that naïve nor that nostalgic. However, I don't think anyone on this thread or on these boards has a concrete clue as to how radio will get out of the mess in which it finds itself, or even if it ever can, nor can any of us say with any degree of certainty that what is happening now wouldn't have happened anyway. But the excessive greed that drove the current crop of corporate captains has surely hastened the process.