You think it's just broadcasting? I run a business. We all try to be optimistic about our business. No one planed for the Titanic sinking. No one. When it happened, everyone pointed fingers. The trials and lawsuits went on for years.
Lots of investors lost money in 2008. Heck I lost money in two failed radio investments in 2008. Yes even I missed the signs of market change. Now I learn every day. Fortunately I also profited on other companies that boomed. That made up for the losses. That's how the big investment companies survive. Diversification.
But the tech industry destroyed a lot of businesses, from brick & mortar retail to radio to newspapers to the recording industry. Now the ducks are about to come home to roost. Congress is looking at regulating tech. Some politicians are demanding breakups of the big companies. Shades of Standard Oil at the turn of the last century. We'll see who profits on the next big thing. We may be in the last days of the bull market. Will we see the signs of market change? You tell me.
I actually think you and I are on the same page, BigA. Like you, I own various businesses and some are broadcasting-related, but most are not. My approach has been that no matter what business it is, that the "customer" is what matters. In my retail businesses, you have to provide the right products and best service. Especially when you cannot "compete" on price. That is always a no win, heartless battle. In radio it's the best music (etc.) and on-air sound. Of course, given your signal strength and competition, it's how you drive revenues. So the business models are actually very similar. I guess one of my better business abilities is being able to see changes down the road. In fact, three years ago, my primary business had a major regulatory change that should have taken almost 30-50% of our business away. That happened to 99% of my competitors. Our team took a different approach and we have grown by 50% per year. Never lost a beat. It was a blend of take no no's, hard work, 24/7 drive and even a bit of optimism. Planning was the key. Paying attention to details and having multiple visions of paths as we saw the positive responses on what worked was an absolute. Additionally we simply did not take "no" for an answer. I guess, like you, pointing fingers and needless legal stupidity just is not part of my business equation. That helped hurt radio for sure. A literal inside hack job. You just keep moving forward. Not that I have done everything perfect. You know some (hell, many) of my missteps. I do think radio, in particular, grew too fast, companies bought signals at insanely stupid multiples to just get a bunch of sticks and then they dead panned the sound and bored listeners away and drove advertisers elsewhere. The major corps all played follow the leader right down the tubes. But, it has continued to happen for too long. That, to me, is N O T acceptable and not smart business and these clown$ ALL knew exactly what was happening. Yes, certainly we all miss and missed market changes. No one is perfect, but what has happened for decades now is more than a miss. No one has really changed the way radio presents itself in decades. But, all of US know what in most important to keeping radio ALIVE. A heart, a soul, a sense of connectedness to the listeners, smarter presentations, less concern for the damn flawed rating system that has also strangled the industry, calling ad agencies out on their utter walk away from the obvious demographics, our own lack of creativity and better marketing, use of old school advertising rules like seven minute SS and of course all the help from our friends at the FCC for managing to clutter up all the local FM dials with static, weak signals and a sound similar to that of AM radio on Germany in the 1940s. The ducks have cooked all of us, already. Look what Amazon and Walmart have done to local ad revenues. But, until each of us sells our business(es) in whatever industry we are in, we have to do all we can to fight and survive against all odds. And frankly, given all the shots radio has taken, it's a wonder it is here it still "is." Yes, tech hurt many genres of the business world. But, we have to give "ourselves" equal credit for doing a fair amount of the harm to ourselves. And by the way, you may disagree on various talking points here, but what "we" all did wrong in radio was simply stop being "we." Gone are the days of single owner stations that often had a bigger staff, a better sound and actually beat each other up on the streets all day, but could still share a beer that afternoon. Radio should not ever have been allowed to be a lame duck.
Oh, and the fact that Cumulus is "selling" all their major market assets is certainly telling. So you are going to make up all this revenue in Market #100? Hmmm.