Hurricanes are like highly-anticipated movies. If the thing peters out, it was all a flop. But if the ending is big, the thing is a blockbuster. The truth is, no news director can be sure...and no news director wants to miss what might be a huge story. The same for Katrina preps. Government at all levels failed to take it seriously, and many people paid a huge price. This time, a military response and full resources were put it in place before the event. Wrong if Rita fizzles. Right if it meets the need. Wrong if if it's not enough. Three outcomes are possible, and two of them are not good.
At any rate...a category 5 storm (3, as of this reply) headed toward the fourth largest US city is the stuff of Speilberg movie scripts. Millions of people on the move in the largest population migration since The Dustbowl. 30% of US refineries offline, affecting every American alive. Traffic jams that look like a scene from Deep Impact. The relevance toward other potential catastrophes, such as earthquake or terrorist attack. The political impact of every decision, good or bad. The potential for millions, if not billions of dollars in property damage - which will also affect most of us through insurance costs. And unknown numbers of lives at stake. Only those who die won't get up after the cameras stop rolling.
By Tuesday, we might be able to call it hype. It might be better to think of it as an enormous inconvenience, necessitated by precaution. Because sooner or later...one will come that will stay a 5. Better to be damned 'cause you did, than damned 'cause you didn't.
As for the business of sending the locals, the thing that pains me is the cliched redundancy of story material and unimaginative, repetitive reportage (ie; "The Big Easy is now anything but." 'Wish I had a dollar for every time that one...). But through the placer, some gold always shines through...and about the only way you get that is by having enough bodies on the scene to find what others may miss.
Jody
> > This is hype pure and simple.
>
> Haven't you ever heard the phrase, "Don't @#$% with Mother
> Nature." Hype is something that The Morning Edge gets for
> having people grab Mondo Mike's pants. Having grown up 60
> miles north of Corpus Christi, living through numerous
> tropical storms, hurricanes, and tornadoes, I will tell you
> first hand that your reasoning is poppycock. Go back to
> whatever hole you crawled out of and stay there. Leave the
> weather to professional forecasters, such as myself, who
> actually have experience.
>