SirRoxalot said:I NEVER spoke about the "affinity/engagement metric" as defined by the study that you linked to. I used the term "engagement" generically BEFORE you posted your link. I didn't bother challenging you on it because you NEVER admit that you're wrong, even when it's demonstrable that you are. It's just not worth the hassle, and doesn't add anything to the REAL discussion.
You brought in the "engagement" term after I had mentioned that Arbitron had formed a workgroup to create a metric for this quality (which is why I gave the link later, since you had misnterpreted the term), and the first thing the group did was throw out the "engagement" term in favor of "affinity" which is in the press release.
Further, Arbitron has not done a "study" and you would know this if you read the press release. Arbitron has engaged a third party organization to put together a workgroup to establish a criteria and a metric for "affinity" and the group is working on the project, as the press release states. There is not "study."
It's virtually impossible to compare PPM results to diary results, so there's no point in trying.
If you understand that about 50% of your cume gives over 90% of the quarter hours in PPM, it is rather easy to compare.
There's a serious problem that Arbitron faces with the PPM in that it can't distinguish between active, voluntary listening, and passive - or even involuntary listening. In other words, Arbitron has opened a whole new can of worms.
Not really. Many passive listeners are engaged by the station they listen too, even if they did not even pick it. And many people who actively seek out a station are not, overall, engaged. Whether listening is voluntary or not is not necessarily an indicator of affinity (or engagement).
As far as consolidation and cutbacks are concerned, don't make me go back and seek out YOUR OWN POSTS about how LMAs and "evolvling" ownership rules go back into the '80s - precisely when TSL started to fade, and before computers even thought about either connectivity or multimedia.
In the 80's the market caps were not lifted, we just had a small change in total stations allowed... so from 7 AM and 7 FM we went to 14 of each, while the number of stations in the US had gone from about 2000 to 12,000 in the same period. We did not even catch up, and for all practical purposes there was no significant change until 1996, and it took 4 to 5 years for that scenario to play out. During the first almost full decade of TSL erosion, there was no consolidation at the individual market level at all.
I'd bet that more than a few posters on these boards would dispute your assertion that "very few large cuts came in the first couple of years of consolidation". That may be true at the top stations in the major markets, but it's certainly not what's been happening at smaller stations and markets outside the top 20.
Sure there were cuts, caused by things like not needing two business managers when two FMs came into the same building. But there were probably more cuts by far when the FCC allowed remote control of AM directional transmitter sites than during the first few years of consolidation.