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WINTER BOOK

One Univision station replaces another at No. 1 as KSCA moves to the top spot. Fall leader KLVE off a half share - but still a strong third overall.

KIIS #1 English

KOST at about same level as Winter 2006.

Big book for KRTH - now top 10 overall and in the mid 3's.

Nice book for KCBS-FM - up almost half a share (who needs disc jockeys?)

Big marketing helps KRBV move up a bit - as they beat Urban rivals KJLH and KDAY.

Best market for "Indie" in quite some time.
 
Radioresearcher said:
KOST at about same level as Winter 2006.

But March was the worst month of the three, from extraps. We will have actuals tomorrow.

Big book for KRTH - now top 10 overall and in the mid 3's.

And the first improvement of note in 25-54 since Jhani got there. Something is happening.

Nice book for KCBS-FM - up almost half a share (who needs disc jockeys?)

Yeah, their research showed a big group who detested jocks and did not want them.

Big marketing helps KRBV move up a bit - as they beat Urban rivals KJLH and KDAY.

But still, not a lot for a half-million.

KKGO a nice story. Nearly a 2 share in March, above what KZLA had in its last year.

Best market for "Indie" in quite some time.

"Best" and "under a 1 share" don't easily fit in the same sentence, but they were better than the last year of books.

KBIG and KHHT both off slightly, not improving their chances for survival. KYSR actually looks to be out of the Intensive Care unit and breathing on its own. Is it the format improving, or just getting Jamie off?

I'm enjoying having 3 stations in the top 10, 25-54.
 
LA. Times article with numbers http://www.calendarlive.com/tv/cl-et-arbitron1may01,0,5586399.story?coll=cl-tv-features

It's way overdue for Emmis to kill off Movin. The format is a total flop and so is Rick Dees. What if Rick Dees came back to Los Angeles radio and NOBODY cared? Well, that's the truth now. He's a huge cost to Emmis with no return. The shareholders, just like in the case of Radio One and V100, need to start openly questioning why Emmis keeps this format and Rick Dees on. The ad campaign for Dees is an embarassment and failure. I can't believe Dees even agreed to do it. He's so lost. It's all the more embarrasing since a half-assed country station and horrible urban oldies station that have only hit the airwaves this year are already beating this overly researched idiotic format. More than 8 months and nothing to show but losses. Get rid of it NOW.

Another station that needs a complete overhaul is KABC. Eric Braverman, who knows nothing about programming a radio station, must go. Although I hope the IRS doesn't allow the reverse Morris trust to fly, Citadel taking over would at least end his career. KABC needs a top-to-bottom overhaul. Although I like Doug Mcintrye, he should never have been given the morning show. He's zero competition to the great Bill Handel and KFI.
 
Well well well, Intern Stella Schwartz and KOST 103 *PLUMMETED* in the latest ratings!!! You have to sink pretty low to be #1 after two trends, then sink to a three-way tie for #6 one month later! This supports my theory that KOST's previous #1 trend was just a carry over from the all-Christmas music format that works so well for them each year. Again, I must ask: Stella Schwartz, qualified programmer, or intern who was groomed to be a "puppet" for lower pay than a qualified programmer? Maybe she should have spent MORE time with Jhani Kaye?

Speaking of Jhani, and K-EARTH, I find it interesting that his expansion of the playlist is paying off. I remember you consultant-types (STEVE HOLT!) on this board blasting anyone who suggested that they should do this, insisting K-EARTH was playing exactly what it should be playing. Look at K-EARTH now!! MUCH IMPROVED!! Of course, these are the same programmers who insisted here that a station like JACK FM would NEVER work, because no one would listen to a station with a playlist that big, with so much variety. Wrong again, overpaid Einsteins!!

Finally, it's waaaaay overdue for Clear Channel to kill off KBIG and STAR. KBIG is a total flop and we all know it. Why doesn't Clear Channel wise up and switch it to a Spanish station? With several Spanish stations in the Top 10, and a government that is doing virtually nothing to stop the flow of illegal immigrants, how could it lose? There are hundreds, if not thousands, of Spanish-speaking adults moving into the listening area every day, so it doesn't take a brain surgeon to build an audience here. KBIG has the signal to build a Spanish powerhouse and it would certainly score higher ratings than KBIG.

It's also waaaaay overdue for Clear Channel to kill off Star. What if KIIS' afternoon jock moved to Star 98.7 and nobody cared? Well, that's the truth now. Valentine makes people long for the days of Jamie White. As annoying as she was, at least she had opinions and something to say. This Valentine, by far, has the worst morning show in the market. Even the billboards for Valentine & Lisa Foxx are a huge embarrassment: "He used to be a cop, she's been arrested"? LAME. That's the best Star can do in a town full of writers? Valentine is soooo lost and it sounds like it. Clear Channel needs to abandon this trainwreck now and build a station that actually has potential to become something big. Sure, Star 98.7 creeps up a bit in the ratings every now and then, but when you're ratings are that low, they are bound to hit bottom and bounce up some of the time. And even then, the ratings bump soon drops like a sack of wet cement. Clear Channel needs to clean house at KBIG and Star and get a crew in there that has a clue. They are, by far, the two worst sounding stations in Los Angeles.
 
StopWhining said:
Well well well, Intern Stella Schwartz and KOST 103 *PLUMMETED* in the latest ratings!!! You have to sink pretty low to be #1 after two trends, then sink to a three-way tie for #6 one month later! This supports my theory that KOST's previous #1 trend was just a carry over from the all-Christmas music format that works so well for them each year. Again, I must ask: Stella Schwartz, qualified programmer, or intern who was groomed to be a "puppet" for lower pay than a qualified programmer? Maybe she should have spent MORE time with Jhani Kaye?

First, a person who has been inthe business for nearly two decades is no longer referred to as an "intern." I started as an intern, and that is no longer my title, either.

KOST had a 3.3 in Summer and a 3.7 in Winter... obviously all ACs that do Christmas get a kiss from it, and it falls out when December is flused from the rolling average. That is a significant improvement. The Winter number is also better than las Spring's number.

Being #6 in LA is hardly a bad place to be.

Speaking of Jhani, and K-EARTH, I find it interesting that his expansion of the playlist is paying off. I remember you consultant-types (STEVE HOLT!) on this board blasting anyone who suggested that they should do this, insisting K-EARTH was playing exactly what it should be playing. Look at K-EARTH now!! MUCH IMPROVED!! Of course, these are the same programmers who insisted here that a station like JACK FM would NEVER work, because no one would listen to a station with a playlist that big, with so much variety. Wrong again, overpaid Einsteins!!

The week of 5/13/06 KRTH played 609 titles, while last week it played 543 titles. What is going on is that the songs are being rotated better and the presentation is better.

A bigger list works if the songs are acceptable to the core. Jack olayed 893 songs last week, but the winner is KRCD with nearly 1000 songs. Each plays the list that works for the format. In fact, Power played more different titles in the last 7 days than KRTH!

Finally, it's waaaaay overdue for Clear Channel to kill off KBIG and STAR. KBIG is a total flop and we all know it. Why doesn't Clear Channel wise up and switch it to a Spanish station?

KBIG billed $33 million last year, and no Spanish langauge station billed that.

With several Spanish stations in the Top 10, and a government that is doing virtually nothing to stop the flow of illegal immigrants, how could it lose? There are hundreds, if not thousands, of Spanish-speaking adults moving into the listening area every day, so it doesn't take a brain surgeon to build an audience here. KBIG has the signal to build a Spanish powerhouse and it would certainly score higher ratings than KBIG.

But it would bill much less... except for the top two stations, the other Spanish facilities bill in the mid-to low 20's, and you can hardly expect Clear, with basically no Hispanic experience, to knock off KSCA with Piolin or KLVE which has been top-2 25-54 for 13 years (SBS tried with KXOL, and could not do it...)

Further, illegals do not accept and participate in diaries, and really don't help a station all that much. There is actually an outflow of Hispanics from LA, as the market is basically too expensive to live in and there are better jobs in Grand Island and Atlanta.

It's also waaaaay overdue for Clear Channel to kill off Star.

Star is improving in core demos quite nicely (25-44 women), and recovering in sales. KBIG and KHHT are the vulnerable stations, not Star. And as long as KBIG bills like it is doing, it is not going to be in play.
 
Actually the KOST Fall-Winter drop is mild compared to some ACs across the country that drop off their Christmas music December.

Check out the Chicago ratings. WLIT fell from #4 in the Fall to a tie for #15 in the Fall. KOST should be proud that they don't tank like that.
 
Now I am not from the market, but have spent some time listening and Movin' seems well targeted and if my source is right they doubled most dayparts in the coveted 25-54 demo. My prediction is more growth by spring 07 and a player by fall. With the cash invested in Dees, there is no way they will blow this station u[ for at least a year.
 
blowmonkey105 said:
Now I am not from the market, but have spent some time listening and Movin' seems well targeted and if my source is right they doubled most dayparts in the coveted 25-54 demo. My prediction is more growth by spring 07 and a player by fall. With the cash invested in Dees, there is no way they will blow this station u[ for at least a year.
Emmis sacrificed a lot with this format. You're most likely correct about the investment in Dees.
What they should do is adjust the format musically to better fit the market. I just don't see enough growth the way it's going. The staff around Dees is still a little thin as is the staff after 10am, but it's not likely to change. The TV spots really aren't that good, but they have bought a lot of time and exposure; any exposure can be a good thing. I still think that they should have started with all this TV and a complete staff instead of the way they did it. It may have given them a much better jump into the market.
 
<<First, a person who has been inthe business for nearly two decades is no longer referred to as an "intern." I started as an intern, and that is no longer my title, either.>>

This may come as a huge shock to you, David, but not everything is about you. I was talking about Stella Schwartz, and I will refer to Ms. Schwartz how I see fit, thank you very much. I never said there is anything wrong with interns in radio, in fact I think they are great. But in my opinion, Stella Schwartz is not qualified to be programming in Los Angeles. She has no other market experience, and there are plenty of people who have TRULY earned their stripes and could do a far better job than Intern Schwartz.

<<Being #6 in LA is hardly a bad place to be.>>

You are correct. But considering they were #1 a few short weeks ago, that is quite a drop. In fact, programmers have been fired for smaller ratings decreases.

<<The week of 5/13/06 KRTH played 609 titles, while last week it played 543 titles. What is going on is that the songs are being rotated better and the presentation is better.>>

And they've added a lot of DIFFERENT songs in recent months, don't forget about that. It's not just the number of different songs they play, it is also a matter of playing the CORRECT songs for their core audience. You know that.

<< A bigger list works if the songs are acceptable to the core.>>

Since you brought it up, David, you were one of the people on this board (along with KM Richards) who used to lay into people who (2+ years ago) used to make suggestions that L.A. needed a station that sounded like what it is now JACK FM. Both you and KM Richards used to dismiss those suggestions and say that a station like that would never work. As far as I'm concerned, JACK FM proved you and the late KM Richards wrong.


<<KBIG billed $33 million last year, and no Spanish langauge station billed that.>>

Doesn't mean it can't be done. It just means the right team hasn't been assembled to make it happen. You are funny, David. Whenever a discussion comes up about someone competing with Univision, you dismiss it as a bad idea, as if no one could or should try. Are you concerned someone might give you guys a run for your money?

<<But it would bill much less... except for the top two stations, the other Spanish facilities bill in the mid-to low 20's, and you can hardly expect Clear, with basically no Hispanic experience, to knock off KSCA with Piolin or KLVE which has been top-2 25-54 for 13 years (SBS tried with KXOL, and could not do it...)>>

Again, you don't know that it would bill less. You make these generalizations that because just because something is not happening, that it can not be done. The right programmers and sales staff could make a Spanish station the #1 billing station in Los Angeles, it has just not been done yet. I believe it will happen in the next 5-7 years.

<<Further, illegals do not accept and participate in diaries, and really don't help a station all that much.>>

This is not entirely true. If it were, Spanish radio would not have seen the growth it has here in the past decade.

<<There is actually an outflow of Hispanics from LA, as the market is basically too expensive to live in and there are better jobs in Grand Island and Atlanta.>>

And when they leave, no one replaces them? O-kay. Now who's being unrealistic?


<<Star is improving in core demos quite nicely (25-44 women), and recovering in sales.>>

Again, their ratings were so bad, they couldn't go much lower, so it's no surprise they've inched up. As far as billing goes, if Star was individually owned and not benefitting (sales wise) from the other stations in the CC cluster, it would not be making nearly the amount of money it is. Regardless, the station sounds like crap. And that morning show is the worst thing to hit L.A. radio since Clear Channel teamed John Murphy and George Lopez.
 
Jay F said:
Actually the KOST Fall-Winter drop is mild compared to some ACs across the country that drop off their Christmas music December.

Check out the Chicago ratings. WLIT fell from #4 in the Fall to a tie for #15 in the Fall. KOST should be proud that they don't tank like that.


You don't consider dropping from #1 to a three-way tie for #6 (in a month) tanking?!? What planet are you from?
 
StopWhining said:
Jay F said:
Actually the KOST Fall-Winter drop is mild compared to some ACs across the country that drop off their Christmas music December.

Check out the Chicago ratings. WLIT fell from #4 in the Fall to a tie for #15 in the Fall. KOST should be proud that they don't tank like that.


You don't consider dropping from #1 to a three-way tie for #6 (in a month) tanking?!? What planet are you from?

You're confusing trends with the actual book.
 
calguy said:
StopWhining said:
Jay F said:
Actually the KOST Fall-Winter drop is mild compared to some ACs across the country that drop off their Christmas music December.

Check out the Chicago ratings. WLIT fell from #4 in the Fall to a tie for #15 in the Fall. KOST should be proud that they don't tank like that.


You don't consider dropping from #1 to a three-way tie for #6 (in a month) tanking?!? What planet are you from?

You're confusing trends with the actual book.


Is the book not made up of trends?
 
blowmonkey105 said:
Now I am not from the market, but have spent some time listening and Movin' seems well targeted and if my source is right they doubled most dayparts in the coveted 25-54 demo. My prediction is more growth by spring 07 and a player by fall. With the cash invested in Dees, there is no way they will blow this station u[ for at least a year.
Rick Dees is #26 in mornings. That isn't a winner even if the ratings went up a little from next to nothing. They can't sell his show and that is what counts. The rest of the station looks even worse even with a small increase in ratings. A market "legend" and after 8 months is in 26th place. Pathetic.

This station is a loser, will continue to be a loser and will be gone by fall along with Rick Dees. It isn't a well designed format for Hispanic females or Los Angeles. It's a loser in every market except Seattle. That's not a winner and has no chance of ever being so.
 
StopWhining said:
Is the book not made up of trends?


No, a book is made up of phases. Each of the two trends leading into a book is made up of a part of one book and a part of the new (and incomplete) one. Phase one trends are two phases of the prior book, unweighted, and one phase of the new book (also unweighted). Phase two is two new phases and one fromt he prior book. The book itself is three weighted phases of the formal survey period.

Only in a full book can you see the actual months of the survey period.
 
StopWhining said:
You don't consider dropping from #1 to a three-way tie for #6 (in a month) tanking?!? What planet are you from?

No, not for an AC that did Christmas music in Phase III Fall. This is acutally a very small decline for such a station.
 
DavidEduardo said:
StopWhining said:
Is the book not made up of trends?


No, a book is made up of phases. Each of the two trends leading into a book is made up of a part of one book and a part of the new (and incomplete) one. Phase one trends are two phases of the prior book, unweighted, and one phase of the new book (also unweighted). Phase two is two new phases and one fromt he prior book. The book itself is three weighted phases of the formal survey period.

Only in a full book can you see the actual months of the survey period.


I did not know that. Thank you, David.
 
StopWhining said:
<<First, a person who has been inthe business for nearly two decades is no longer referred to as an "intern." I started as an intern, and that is no longer my title, either.>>

This may come as a huge shock to you, David, but not everything is about you. I was talking about Stella Schwartz, and I will refer to Ms. Schwartz how I see fit, thank you very much. I never said there is anything wrong with interns in radio, in fact I think they are great. But in my opinion, Stella Schwartz is not qualified to be programming in Los Angeles. She has no other market experience, and there are plenty of people who have TRULY earned their stripes and could do a far better job than Intern Schwartz.

A. I was simply making a point that many in radio started at interns, and there is nothing derogatoory about having been one as your post clearly suggests.
B. I find it admirable that a person has been able to stay in one company and market for as long as Ms. Schwartz has. It indicates that radio is more stable for the employee, and that there are career paths to be had without having to rent a U-Haul every year or so.

<<Being #6 in LA is hardly a bad place to be.>>

You are correct. But considering they were #1 a few short weeks ago, that is quite a drop. In fact, programmers have been fired for smaller ratings decreases.

To be finicky, they were tied for #1. And every AC in the USA that does Christmas loses at least a point if not more when the Winter book comes out; WLTW in NY lost over a share, and in Chicago the loss was enough to move the AC there something like 10 positions in rank. This is something we have seen for as long as All-Christmas has been done. It is expected and not unusual and does not reflect on the PD.

In the case of KOST, the staiton is now, in Winter, above both spring and Summer 2006 levels... not bad in such a competitive market.

<<The week of 5/13/06 KRTH played 609 titles, while last week it played 543 titles. What is going on is that the songs are being rotated better and the presentation is better.>>

And they've added a lot of DIFFERENT songs in recent months, don't forget about that. It's not just the number of different songs they play, it is also a matter of playing the CORRECT songs for their core audience. You know that.

Most of the songs are the same, and some have changed. This is pretty normal at an oldies station, where we find that there are literally hundreds of songs that cycle in and out as they get a bit burnt and need rest while others recover and are playable... for a while.

<< A bigger list works if the songs are acceptable to the core.>>

Since you brought it up, David, you were one of the people on this board (along with KM Richards) who used to lay into people who (2+ years ago) used to make suggestions that L.A. needed a station that sounded like what it is now JACK FM. Both you and KM Richards used to dismiss those suggestions and say that a station like that would never work. As far as I'm concerned, JACK FM proved you and the late KM Richards wrong.

Sorry, not true. I disagreed that an English oldies station could increase its list because at any one time there are not that many more playable songs.

And you are picking on the person with the most extensive non-classical list in the market, so obviously I did not say what you think I did or you took a very specfic remark out of context.

The fact is, I followed Jack from its days in Calgary and such via BBM and was well aware that it could be developed for US audiences.


<<KBIG billed $33 million last year, and no Spanish langauge station billed that.>>

Doesn't mean it can't be done. It just means the right team hasn't been assembled to make it happen. You are funny, David. Whenever a discussion comes up about someone competing with Univision, you dismiss it as a bad idea, as if no one could or should try. Are you concerned someone might give you guys a run for your money?

The fact is that many have tried to compete in Spanish language radio without knowledge of the culture and the lifestyle. Clear Channel has actually had to turn some of the stations that it changed to Spanish back to English (Albuquerque, Denver, etc.) Their corporate culture is not particularly adaptable to what the Hispanic companies like SBS, Liberman, Entravision, BMP, Bustos and, of course, Univision, can do.

I have not seen Clear hiring recognized experts in programming, sales and management for their Hispanic initiative. It appears the main qualifications they have is the ability to speak English to the cluster managers.

And the fact that the experts have not been able to make any Spanish FM in LA outbill KBIG's current level also indicates that adding another player on top of the existing 16 would dilute, not expand, the revenue potential of any one station.

<<But it would bill much less... except for the top two stations, the other Spanish facilities bill in the mid-to low 20's, and you can hardly expect Clear, with basically no Hispanic experience, to knock off KSCA with Piolin or KLVE which has been top-2 25-54 for 13 years (SBS tried with KXOL, and could not do it...)>>

Again, you don't know that it would bill less. You make these generalizations that because just because something is not happening, that it can not be done. The right programmers and sales staff could make a Spanish station the #1 billing station in Los Angeles, it has just not been done yet. I believe it will happen in the next 5-7 years.

Sure I know it would bill less. First, further diluting shares would bring the potential for all stations down. Second, a novice organization with no relationships with the Hispanic shops and clients would talke a long time to reach the sales proficiency level of any of the Hispanic players now in the market.

<<Further, illegals do not accept and participate in diaries, and really don't help a station all that much.>>

This is not entirely true. If it were, Spanish radio would not have seen the growth it has here in the past decade.

Check the growth of legal residents and you will see the growth of the market. Illegals are vastly less likely to participate in a survey, as it requires giving data like address (to mail the diaries) and family size (to know how many) and qualitative data. Do you really see many illegal residents giving out a roadmap by which to find them to a stranger on the phone?

<<There is actually an outflow of Hispanics from LA, as the market is basically too expensive to live in and there are better jobs in Grand Island and Atlanta.>>

And when they leave, no one replaces them? O-kay. Now who's being unrealistic?

The growth of the Hispanic population in LA has slowed dramatically. In fact, it is declining as a percentage of the market. 2005: 41.2%. 2006: 40.7%. 2007: 40.7% while in that period, total market population increadedd by 100,000 persons.

It is more dramatic in San Francisco, where we see the total Hispanic population decreasing as a percentage and a total number over the last three years.


<<Star is improving in core demos quite nicely (25-44 women), and recovering in sales.>>

Again, their ratings were so bad, they couldn't go much lower, so it's no surprise they've inched up. As far as billing goes, if Star was individually owned and not benefitting (sales wise) from the other stations in the CC cluster, it would not be making nearly the amount of money it is. Regardless, the station sounds like crap. And that morning show is the worst thing to hit L.A. radio since Clear Channel teamed John Murphy and George Lopez.

Speculating about the station under a different owner is meaningless. The fact is, Star forms an important part of the company cluster strategy and they are investing in the format. The fact that you, who are likely a guy, don't like the talent, billboards or miusic is actually irrelevant.
 
StopWhining said:
I did not know that. Thank you, David.

Sure! Keep in mind that the "monthly" numbers we see mentioned can be one of two things...

1. An extrapolation of the trend based on the known number or numbers from the prior book and the data for a Phase I or Phase II trend to "extract" the approximate number for the most recent month. This is often close, but is not an Arbitron number as it ignores weighting.

2. Radio talk where we refer to the trend that covers Dec-Jan-Feb as the "February numbers" while they are really a three month trend.
 
<<The fact is, Star forms an important part of the company cluster strategy and they are investing in the format. The fact that you, who are likely a guy, don't like the talent, billboards or miusic is actually irrelevant.>>

Wrong again, David. I am a 36-year-old female who *IS* in Star's demo. AND, FYI, I do think the station sounds horrible, most notably the morning show, and that those billboards are a joke. They are targeting me and failing miserably. I have many friends (female) who are my same age, give or take a year, and they all agree Star sounds horrible. We all tuned back in with great hope when Jamie was canned, then tuned out again, disappointed, because Valentine's morning show is even worse.
 
StopWhining said:
I am a 36-year-old female who *IS* in Star's demo. AND, FYI, I do think the station sounds horrible, most notably the morning show, and that those billboards are a joke. They are targeting me and failing miserably. I have many friends (female) who are my same age, give or take a year, and they all agree Star sounds horrible. We all tuned back in with great hope when Jamie was canned, then tuned out again, disappointed, because Valentine's morning show is even worse.

Hmm, that explains quite a bit. You point to music and billboards. Billboards, like TV spots for stations have suffered from a lack of vision and creativity for years, that's a given, (though KFI's billboards are pretty good) but what would you change about their music and morning show. Do you know of someone better from elsewhere that might better fit the morning show at STAR? What's wrong with Valentine? He was pretty successful at KIIS and many other station around the country.
Why don't you Valentine & Lisa to be the answer? I'm not being a smat a%& here. I truly would like to know... By the way, David and many on this board, myself included may have thought you were a guy because of the way you write, so this is a revelation. But really, I'm thinking now that you're a listener rather than someone from within the industry.
 
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