PhDance said:You bring up a valid point. There isn't an overall "Puerto Rican" format just like there isn't a "White" format. Still, comparing how many hispanic targeted formats there are in Latin countries is sort of irrelevant when comparing an area of a hispanic majority versus a hispanic minority. If a station can get more listeners by targeting a majority segment then that's what they are going to do.
There realy are no "majority" formats in any Latin Ameircan naiton, any moreso than there are such in US markets. Probably the most universal format, AC and its hybrid Hot AC, are capable of 10 to 15 shares in any market in Latin Americo. And the music is much more similar nation to nation than any other format. But there are big formats like AC and oldies missing in Orlando, as well as a good WKAQ or WUNO-like talker.
You can wax all day about how you feel the Census isn't capturing the true population, but advertisers and stakesholders aren't going to buy into that. They are going to pay attention to their tax-supported Census printout.
Advertisers, ad agencies and Arbitron istself use Claritas data or that provided by several other demographic data providers that use the Census as only one component of populaton data. Arbitron, as mentioned, does not get their data from the Census and the marketing departments at companies from P&G to Coke don't use Census data directly. It is way to inaccurate, particularly in ethnic populations and even more so following a few years after the decenial census is taken. Unfortunately, the Constitutuion mandates a census, and statistics derived from polling can not be used, despite proof that today they would be far more accurate.
I don't imagine walking into a conference room blurting out that the "Census is wrong" is going to garner much support for a proposed Spanish format either.
Since Arbitron does not use Census data, and the Claritas data supports the need for another station, nobody is going to object to observing that the Arbitron population data shows much opportunity than most any other format... because there is a huge group of listeners not served by the two current tropical based stations.
By the time there is solid proof of ratings, speculation is irrelevant, and advertisers aren't going to bite unless they see the beef. That's what happenned in Philadelphia.
I presume you are referring to the Clear Channel abortion of putting an FM against the Hispanic market where that market is 4.8% of the population and nearly 70% assimilated Puerto Ricans? There has been nearly no migration from PR to the NE since the late 60's, and the Boricuas there are second and third generation when we talk 25-54 sales demos. The Spanish spakers are over 55, and not a good sales target. Clear must have been using Census numbers, not Arbitron's langauge preference reports to make the decision. There was no way such a staiton could get more htan about a share and a half, if lucky.
Plus, if a hispanic citizen wants so badly to integrate into American culture that they won't even admit their true heritage on a piece of paper, what is the probability that they are going to record in an Arbitron diary that they were listening to Hispanic radio stations? Surely you see a parallel.
That is not the issue. Most Puerto Ricans (based on a survey in NY and Miami) do not like the term "Hispanic" or "Latino." I asked, separately, each of my daughters if they considered themselves Hispanic or Latinas, and each said, "No way. I'm Puerto Rican." This is why the Census shows so many "other Hispanics" and also why the Puerto Ricans are undercounted. There is pride in the heritage and culture, but not acceptance of the names the government applies... questionnaire bias can change the results of a census or survey radically... and that is what we have here.