Lkeller said:"but maxx? they will definitely change that. i would put money on a top 40 station, or if they really wanna stir up trouble .... make it a rock station like 98 rock"
I wouldn't argue at all that Entercom will change Max-FM, and might consider flipping KDFC, but I'd like some realistic radio professionals posting here to tell me what format holes there are to fill. I'm definitely no expert, so perhaps I'm missing something, but the SF market seems different to me. The market has been dominated by the same stations for many years - KGO and KOIT. Unlike most markets, we have both a Classical and All-News station consistently in the top 5, and listening habits here don't seem to change much.
If you look at the history, no Top 40 station has done well since 610/KFRC in the 70s. Top 40 formats either flip (KYUU, KITS, Z95.7) or morph into something else (KMEL). Clear Channel is not a stupid corporation - if Top 40 is a potential ratings leader, why aren't they programming it on either 94.9 or 101.3?
Country stations have been a flop here for about 2 decades now - why would "The Wolf" be a hit when "The Bear" was a non-starter? Maybe we should switch from mammals to amphibians, and a "Froggy" would work better? Does Entercom really know some special secret that would make these formats work where others have failed?
New formats don't seem to do well in the Bay Area either - witness Max-FM with the Jack format, and the not-very encouraging reception that Movin is getting.
There's been some successful CHR's since the heyday of KFRC, though none enjoyed the longevity of 610. KITS had some brief success with their "Hot Hits" thing in the early-mid 80s, until it burned out and they went straight CHR until they gradually evolved into modern rock. When "Hot Hits" came on, even jocks at other stations talked about it! KMEL got out of the AOR war and became a CHR in 1986, and had some success in fighting KITS. A few years later they started to shift toward a more rhythmic direction. Then came X100, which was basically a reimaged, younger-skewing KYUU. X100 didn't do much, though. KFRC's owners bought them and it became KFRC-FM, playing oldies.
And wasn't 98.9 briefly a CHR in the late 80s? I recall they were a flash in the pan. I had moved out of the Bay Area by then.
The thing is, nowadays, most CHR stations sound pretty much like what KYLD is doing. Rhythmic music dominates the format. For the non-rhythmic stuff, Alice and Star have that covered. Clear Channel seems to have created a flank of sorts with KMEL/Wild/Star, ensuring that no CHR station has a chance in that market.