badjef said:
To me, it is Fantasy Radio to expect a Mexican or Korean would not listen to an English all-news operation.
KNX, in a market that is nearly 45% Hispanic, gets only 14% of its listening from Hispanics. That's because listening to it is pretty much a function of age, band and language usage. About 60% of LA Hispanics are Spanish Only or Mostly Spanish... and TV is the preferred medium for news (no FM has anything other than headlines, and FM is over 90% of Spanish language listening). The Univision evening and night newscasts on TV are consistently #1 in LA, and they are in Spanish, not English.
The Korean population is not a stratification variable in Arbitron, so there can be no analysis. However, there is plenty of evidence that first generation populations in the US waaaaay underindex in usage of English spoken word radio.
Just wait for the next "disaster" and robo-radio isn't keeping the people affected informed.
AM news radio does a good job in LA; the issue is that the potential constituency is limited because of the band, KCBS in SF had to add an FM simulcast to improve its sales-demo ratings.
And we all have a tendency to agree with ratings when we win and conversely disagree with them when we don't.
A past head of Arbitron told me that there were two constituencies at any given time. First, those who stayed the same or went up, who believed they were programming gurus. Second, those who went down, who believed they were also gurus, but that Arbitron was wrong.
Whatever the case, when we can track a format in both diary and then PPM for a decade or more, we know what works. Since ratings are essential for sales in the larger markets, arguing about sample is a sidebar to trying to improve ratings.
With that said, it is expensive to run a quality all-news operation, such as WINS. If they were to move to FM, would they run out of signal before running out of market as it would be if it were one of the Wilson signals trying to target Orange County?
The Wilson FMs cover Orange County better than perhaps two of the LA AM stations. The biggest signals, like KBIG, KRTH, etc., put a 65 dbu to the bottom of Orange County, and the lowest powered ones like KIIS put one two-thirds of the way down the county, covering 90% of the OC population with a 65. OC is only a quarter of the LA metro population, so that portion that a few FMs don't cover quite as well is less than 2% of the population. On the other hand, most of the AMs have real issues... if not daytime, definitely at night, in large parts of that county.
In LA the issue is not coverage on the FMs. It is the aging of the AM listener and a highly ethnic market with many groups that underindex on all-news usage.
KNX covers the market adequately, but that will not continue due to added electrical interference for AM especially in the car. Not everybody is like me. I put an antenna through the fender of a brand new Hyundai Accent to improve the AM reception.
KNX is useful in the car to about Redlands to the east, and up and down the coast from San Diego to Santa Barbara. It's in home and at work where the noise is an issue, and some parts of the LA metro will not get enough signal for that kind of use.
New York is different, as the FMs are conforming B's, not grandfathered stations with 50 to 60 kw on a 5,000 foot high mountain overlooking nearly the whole market.