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My Predictions for New York Radio For the Next Decade

1. PARTY 87 will cease broadcasting when they mandate all LPTV stations to go all digital in 2 years.
2. The Pirate Stations will continue to thrive and only get worse.
3. Air America will finally go under.
4. Due to listener protests of the poor signal of WQXR, WNYC Radio does a swap with Family Radio. WNYC gets 94.7 for WQXR. Family Radio gets 105.9 for WFME.
5. Nick Cannon will fail as morning man on NOW 92.3 FM. He will be succeeded by Pamela Anderson (failure), Jessica Simpson (failure), and finally settle on picking up a syndicated morning show.
 
1. 92.3 Now FM will either
a. Flip to Country
b. Flip back to KRock
c. Flip to Alternative
2. 101.9 RXP
a. Flip to Alternative
b. Flip to Modern Rock
3. Or nothing at all will change
 
MarcB said:
1. PARTY 87 will cease broadcasting when they mandate all LPTV stations to go all digital in 2 years.
2. The Pirate Stations will continue to thrive and only get worse.
3. Air America will finally go under.
4. Due to listener protests of the poor signal of WQXR, WNYC Radio does a swap with Family Radio. WNYC gets 94.7 for WQXR. Family Radio gets 105.9 for WFME.
5. Nick Cannon will fail as morning man on NOW 92.3 FM. He will be succeeded by Pamela Anderson (failure), Jessica Simpson (failure), and finally settle on picking up a syndicated morning show.
I hope Nick Cannon will become a big success on Now 92.3 ( To shutup all you jealous wannabee morning jocks ).
 
How about adding 90's music on CBS-FM. That's a great idea! WBPM has been playing some 90's music, so why not add aplenty of great 90's songs like Celine Dion, Ricky Martin, MC Hammer, Seal, Ce Ce Peniston, C+C Music Fsctory and other great artists from the 90's that are adding CBS-FM in the mix along with 70's and 80's songs and maybe the 60's music will be phasing out in the future. That means no more Beatles and Motown for you guys. Maybe they should make the station younger if they can phasing in the 90's. If CBS-FM is going to add 90's music, it's "Hammer Time!"
 
If there's anyone who is going to add more 90's music to the playlist it'll be Lite FM...just because they do so many things that are successful. OK, maybe not "Hammer Time" but certainly the likes of Seal and Celine Dion. What about WKTU? Chaka Khan is already in their rotation and it wouldn't depart too much from their SOP to add some 90's dance music.

Here are my predictions:

- 93.1 Amor is dropped and replaced by a Spanish talk format
- NOW FM continues its slow rise but, by next year, is forced to go to a more dance-friendly format. NOW is late to realize that the competition to aim for is 'KTU, not Z100.
- Howard Stern will NOT come back to terrestrial radio. He's gone for good. It's over.
- Rap music starts the slow breakup that has afflicted rock music on the radio. The first is the breakup into "classic rap" and "modern rap", then rap by decades. Basically, there would be HD stations dedicated to these subgenres. Rap by the end of the decade loses its dominance in mainstream music, replaced by music influenced from foreign nations. Rock makes a mini-comeback but will never reach the dominance it enjoy through the 1970s.
- WBAI moves to 91.5 because Bloomberg would agree to end operations for WNYE. The 99.5 signal is sold and will become a classic rock station.
- WRXP either goes fully to alternative and contemporary rock or goes country.
- WBLS gets into major trouble because of Inner City's finances. They may be sold by the middle of the decade. There will be an effort to "save black radio", led by Sharpton, of course. In the end, a buyer is found for WBLS and WLIB who will be committed to their current formats.
- CBS will sell some radio stations to meet shareholder concerns. Stations that will go include Fresh 102.7, WFAN and WINS.
- The FCC will push back the end date for LPTV stations to go all digital because of unanticipated problems with the expansion of the FM band.
- The FM band will not be expanded because of the problems with DTV.
- Imus finally retires.
- Lite FM will continue to be the #1 station in New York City.
 
Either or both CBS and Disney will put a full time sports station on FM. Though there are more compelling reasons for Disney to do it, CBS has more opportunity (with 92.3) and experience in Boston, Dallas, etc.
 
1. CBS FM will NOT be adding 90s tunes for the next 5 years. We can start having the discussion again later in the decade. And when it happens, I DOUBT highly it will be "Hammer Time."

2. NYC will FINALLY get a country station again. It will work because this station will totally be about the "contemporary" sound of country and the younger artists. Taylor Swift, Carrie Underwood, Sugarland, and whoever is still to come. George Strait's Twang would not fly on this station. This station will appeal to younger listeners who are looking for an alternative to all the "rhythm".

3. Sports on FM.......Yes......not sure who at this point

4. Lite FM will CONTINUE to be the market leader.
 
By this time, January 1, 2020, most of FM radio (AM will be HISTORY) will have gone the talk/news/sports route. If any music still exists on the radio dial, it will be "brokered" time by the radio stations. Everyone will have gone over to the Internet route as streaming car stereos with 6G technology are "standard". A lot of stations will come and go there, but the strong ones will last due to ad sales.
 
If there is to be a sports station on FM, it would likely be ESPN. WFAN is doing quite well at 660 AM. The people in the radio business still think about demographics. WCBS-FM's audience will age and the corporate suits will likely gradually phase out the 60s music and play more into the late 80s and 90s. I won't like it, but I don't own CBS radio. When I listen to Cousin Brucie on Sirius/XM, I always hear kids as young as 6 years old phoning in requests. Oldies appeal to all demographics.

I would love to see a country station on terrestrial radio, but I think there will still be a perception that country music appeals to people with low income and low buying power. It is more likely that a suburban station will flip to country in the next decade.

Bruce
 
MarcB said:
PARTY 87 will cease broadcasting when they mandate all LPTV stations to go all digital in 2 years.

Um......sounds like it may have happened right now, or yet another issue with the T1 line. Nothing is heard on 87.7
 
-ESPN will get a FM-station. Probably later than sooner.

-CBS-FM will get some serious revenue issues as their listeners grow older

-Hot talk will return to new york in some form. May it be on a rock station or on an AM but the corporations will try to get the young male listeners again
 
Sometime between now and the end of 2019, the local, live disc jockey will go the way of the dinosaur. Instead, everything will either be syndicated or delivered by satellite. You already have syndicated morning shows, midday shows, afternoon shows, evening shows and overnight shows. These will proliferate and replace all of the local stuff. Even the all news stations will be mostly national with, probably, two five-minute segments per half hour for local news. WABC is already 100% syndicated Mon-Fri. Oh wait a minute, 99.9% syndicated. Don't forget that lousy hour they give us local from 5 to 6 AM.

Seriously, I can see this happening. What the heck, most of the live and local deejays now are just card-readers anyway. So why bother? If I can barter out my whole broadcast day and pay minimum wage to a few people to run my board, I can make a killing. And that, folks, is what it call comes down to. $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
 
Somehow, I think that "predictions for the next decade" in 2009 will be a little like "predictions for the next decade" in 1949--if not a more extreme scenario still. IOW anyone looking back upon this thread in 2019 will think: what a bunch of delusional hicks on the wrong side of history...
 
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