First on the beach always takes the bullets...
>
> - Their "network" model had already been tried and failed
> (by ABC) in the early 80's. Then, as now, this model
> condemns a program provider to mostly marginal stations.
>
But ABC put satellite dishes in hundreds of radio stations for the first time. Ed McLaughlin's success in Rush would not have been as easily accomplished without the infrastructure ABC Talkradio put in place. Ed M. used the ABC Talk channel (DATS 18, later SEDAT 54) when he launched Rush in 1988.
Many of the ABC Talkradio affiliates were anything but marginal. In fact, they are among the leaders in talk radio to this day in their respective markets
(WOKV Jacksonville, WERC Birmingham, WGOW Chattanooga for example). ABC Talkradio introduced the full-time talk radio format to many sub-Top 50 markets, where it had previously been unviable due to the cost of staffing a fulltime talker.
> - The "network" model was replaced by Ed McLaughlin's
> syndication model, which is the industry standard: Find a
> successful local host, get some satellite time, and sell the
> program/host (not the "network" brand) to the strongest
> stations you can get. Keep upgrading stations and time
> slots.
But the problem confronting progressive talk is like the one that confronted
talk radio of any sort in 1982: How do you get stations to make the leap to a whole-new format with only a show or two available? If ABC Talkradio hadn't been there in 1982, probably Rush would have had fewer affiliates on which to launch his show six years later.
Hostility from conservative listeners has already doomed liberal talk on conservative stations, a point first identified cogently by Jon Sinton. Therefore, prog-talk must stand on its own frequencies, not on scraps from the GOP-Talk label.
>
> - Alternatively, there is the Salem model. Use a cash cow
> (in this case a brokered preaching format) to buy
> under-valued stations, and use a talk network to program
> your own stations (other stations are gravy). The real
> money in this business is in stations - not in providing
> programming. Salem does have one marketable host, Mike
> Gallagher, and for his program they fall back on the
> syndication model. ESPN Radio operates under a the Salem
> model but with an established network "brand." Like Salem,
> they fall back on the syndication model to sell their
> stronger individual shows/hosts to established sports talk
> stations in larger markets. And like Salem, they also use
> the network to provide programming to major market stations
> they own.
Actually, ESPN has been leaning away from larger sports talkers and toward affiliations with smaller groups and weaker stations in order to clear its product. An example is the Genesis group in Florida, which consists of two
crippled Class B's and a Class D with little possibility of adequate nighttime coverage.
>
> I am surprised at how the immediate reaction of many people
> on this board and the New York board is to call for Air
> America to "buy" (meaning LMA) another New York station.
> The numbers published so far suggest WLIB has been a cash
> drain. But since they don't think like business people, and
> they may start thinking "we've got to do something!!" - they
> could go ahead and do it anyway. In all likelihood they
> will end up over-paying to lease a struggling ethnic station
> at the high-end of the band hardly anybody can receive.
If they get on another New York station on this basis, they'll be bashed. If they don't, they'll get bashed. They need to stick to their own compass because the people offering "advice" are doing so from a hostile perspective, much like the crowd that yells at a man on a ledge, "Jump! Jump!"
>
> Biggest concern: New WLIB management goes Urban Talk and
> picks up Radio One's "network."
>
> Best hope: New WLIB management goes libtalk on the model of
> the Clear Channel libtalkers and AA still clears Franken,
> Rhodes (delayed) and maybe Malloy gets back on in New York.
> It's likely than Rhodes may play better than Schultz in New
> York PM Drive, but Randy Michaels may have other
> considerations here.
>
Little chance of a clearance for any AA shows in a non-LMA situation in New York, not because they lack merit, but because of the business model. So many small-time brokered stations, and the spot-driven stations are uniformly hostile no matter what the ratings are.
570--Salem
660--Sports
710--Owned by a conservative who seems to shy away from controversy unless he's paid to run a show (O' Reilly)
770--Conservative
820--Non-commercial
880--News. Makes millions. No reason to change.
1010--Ditto.
1050--ESPN Brand.
1130--Owned by Bloomberg. A REPUBLICAN politico.
1560--Radio Disney brand.
As you can see, the choices are few, in fact none. To be on in New York, one must LMA. Unless Infinity decides to blow up its AM's the way it has wrecked its FM's, that's the way it will stay in NYC. Perhaps a slot on HD, but I wouldn't bet on it, and advertisers would get very few ears for their money.