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NAB asks for ATSC 3.0 mandate by 2030

After doing some reading, here's my take:

A mandatory ATSC 3.0 transition would be a hot mess, and it seems that the only parties that seem to be interested in such a thing are the NAB and the FCC. Most everyone else seems to be firmly opposed, if they care at all (most consumers probably don't; they prefer on demand streaming instead, most likely because it's available everywhere, has far more content, and it's not limited to TVs (they can see the same content, with few if any compromises, on their phones, tablets, Macs and PCs)).

It's a sign of the times.

c
 
the only parties that seem to be interested in such a thing are the NAB and the FCC.
I can't stop thinking about how carriage fees have become half or more of most stations' revenues. And here we are witnessing the death of linear cable and satellite.

Weaponizing ATSC 3.0 by switching off 1.0 prematurely would sure drive lots of non-carriage fee-paying former cable subscribers to carriage fee-encumbered streaming platforms. Because while your average wingchair-bound nonagenarian might not notice the sudden switchout to heavily macroblocked 480p lighthouses, pretty much everyone else is going to quickly discern that their sportsball games and police chase newscasts are suddenly looking like smuggled MPEG-1 CD-Rs in North Korea, and seek the alternative of least resistance. And buying completely new TVs (or forever fussing with multiple remotes for converters) is the path of greatest resistance compared to just feeding a credit card number to yet another Roku app.
 
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Weaponizing ATSC 3.0 by switching off 1.0 prematurely would sure drive lots of non-carriage fee-paying former cable subscribers to carriage fee-encumbered streaming platforms.

I don't think it will be as massive a shift as you might think. The vast majority of people who were already fed up with terrestrial linear television went to streaming long ago.

And sporting events have been migrating to streams for a while, so there may not even be that many people who depend on broadcast TV for that anymore, either.

The one thing I do think broadcasters will keep 1.0 alive for is their local newscasts. The ad revenue from those is a large enough part of their operating budget that they want viewers to have access to that. For example, KABC-TV here in Los Angeles not only simulcasts Eyewitness News on the website and the app -- and every single newscast opening includes the anchors reminding you about abc7.com and the ABC7 app -- but fills in between live newscasts with repeats of the most recent live ones. And they don't charge a penny for that.
 
TV Technology reports on a survey which shows "strong consumer interest" in ATSC 3.0 converters:


The last paragraph makes it clear that the survey did not inform respondents of the potential encryption and "pay-to-view" that would result:

Top motivations for purchase of a converter box included the fact that it was a one-time purchase with no monthly fees; it works with current TV and antenna setup; and it provides reliable reception, even when internet service is unavailable.
 
The claim that "it provides reliable reception, even when internet service is unavailable" is a lie. There are videos showing that encrypted ATSC 3.0 does not work without an Internet connection, even on devices which claim to be able to do so.

Well, if the survey didn't mention encryption, why should it also mention the necessity of an Internet connection?

Pretty much all of the conclusions are faulty, because the survey was GIGO.
 
That's a hilarious headline from TheDesk.

Here's a few examples of similar headlines from recent years where government agencies generated backlash against the thing they tried to mandate.
"Lawmakers: CDC should mandate Covid-19 vaccinations to spur consumer interest"
"Lawmakers: EPA should mandate electric vehicles to spur consumer interest"
 
That's a hilarious headline from TheDesk.

Here's a few examples of similar headlines from recent years where government agencies generated backlash against the thing they tried to mandate.
"Lawmakers: CDC should mandate Covid-19 vaccinations to spur consumer interest"
"Lawmakers: EPA should mandate electric vehicles to spur consumer interest"
You'd think that with the preponderance of evidence that suggests it won't work, they'd quit doing it!

And yet....

Better enjoy OTA TV while we can. It seems like at this rate, in a few years it'll all be locked down and encumbered with encryption, and people must pay a monthly fee to watch.

I really couldn't care less if ATSC 3.0 has better interactivity and analytics, among other things. People already have the various Internet-based streaming platforms where they've had all those things from the beginning. My guess is that anyone watching OTA TV now, besides trying to save some money, is doing so to avoid those invasive features because they're tired of dealing with them on the streaming service (not to mention the subscription fees that add up).

c
 

Heres more but who the core demos for this is yet to be seen here for ATSC 3.0 devices.

 
Another UHF spectrum repack? Apparently existing stations would be consolidated onto shared ATSC 3.0 signals:

 
6G networks, which promise dramatically higher speeds, lower latency, and support for emerging applications such as immersive augmented reality, advanced industrial automation, and widespread Internet of Things connectivity.
That exact thing was said about 5G, and even 5 years later, I haven't really noticed any meaningful improvement over LTE (aka 4G).

Sometimes 5G is faster, yes, but usually not by much. Often it's about the same as or slightly slower than 4G.

5G-UW can be faster, but it exists almost nowhere.

c
 
That exact thing was said about 5G, and even 5 years later, I haven't really noticed any meaningful improvement over LTE (aka 4G).

Sometimes 5G is faster, yes, but usually not by much. Often it's about the same as or slightly slower than 4G.

5G-UW can be faster, but it exists almost nowhere.

c
5G if close enough to the tower has faster upload. Thats about it. Most won’t notice it.
 
Another UHF spectrum repack? Apparently existing stations would be consolidated onto shared ATSC 3.0 signals:

Complete insanity. In many large markets, the lower UHF channels got re-allocated to public service agencies and business band users in the 1970s. In Los Angeles, for example, channels 14-21 (with the exception of 18, which was already on-air at the time) are unavailable due to their use by multiple government and private sector two-way radio systems. Giving away 28 and above would leave LA. with just 7 channels on UHF -- 18 plus 22 through 27.
 
I sincerely hope this doesn't go anywhere.

It seems like they're expecting stations to share transmitting facilities as a "solution" for the limited number of channels under the proposed plan, which to me seems like a sure way of killing off any marginal stations.

c
 


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