I do agree that another CHR coming into the market will happen. I don't think Mix 96 is going anywhere, but I think what is going to happen is that KUUL will be taking over Q106.5's signal and will do one of those simulcasts for a while....then 101.3 KISS FM will debut. Remember, people do not want to change their dial too far down the dial. Star is strategically placed as the next strongest FM signal down from 96.1. When 98.9 was around, they put B on 99.7. When WLLR was still on 101.3 they had the country station on 99.7. They moved down to 104.9 not too long after WLLR went down that way.
Only problem they have now is this: If they dump Q to essentially go after B, they have the same problem they had with 98.9 when they were on: Do they keep Bob and Tom, who from what I understand has done decent in this market for whatever reason, on the otherwise music intensive CHR in town? They target different kinds of audiences. I think they moved Bob and Tom when they did not because they wanted to really add local talent for their LMA'd 98.9 station, they wanted to protect their show and cut costs elsewhere in the chain. Why not put Bob and Tom on one of their own stations, and charge the owner of the LMA'd station more money to put on local talent? The suits at CC put the costs on their partner, not them, and more profit in their books since they don't have to pay anything since they already own the show.
Moving on, I would like to see an urban station come in, but the market here just isn't there for it. That would be cool, but way too hard to sell.
It would be in CC's best interest to go back after the CHR market in this area again because they could force Cumulus to put their money where their mouth is, and put money into B100 when right now they have no reason to do that, who do they compete against, Star, their own property?
If Cumulus has to compete, and they will for a while, one of them will get out and go elsewhere. But where do they go? Obviously, country, their best opportunity, just does not do well with how powerful WLLR is in this market. They already have Star competing against Mix, 97X will stay the course with Dwyer and Michaels where they are. We have an active/modern rock station in 104.9, CC will not go after that unless they are really gutsy they could with 106.5 and stay out of CHR in the market.
This area is not progressive or have a young enough market to go for a dance station or a rap station or latin station. They won't go for a "Jack" format, they have enough stations playing that stuff now to not really need it here. So what is left? CHR. Go for it, CC, then force Cumulus into a corner to make them spend some money or have to bail out of the format and try to kill off someone else.
Maybe after CC knocks B100 off the market, Cumulus decides to go for a two headed attack at WLLR, flip 99.7 and 93.5 to country, but two different approachs: one goes for the older 80's and 90's country, not the really really old stuff, and the other goes new country, both at the same time. Maybe with a 2-3 share each knocking at WLLR, it can drop them below double digits. Just an idea.
--EnergyDeKalb2