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Oldies on AM?

Re: Legacy response.

> You have never sold, have you? If you did, you would know
> that agency buyers, responsible for most of the NY reveneue,
> do not select demos. the agency client does, and they spend
> hundreds of millions if not billions on research to identify
> the prime consumers.
>
> You can not sell an agency demos they have been told NOT to
> buy.

Save the billions. It's this waste that will ensure that there will be no jobs in a dead industry in 20 years.

> > There are too many FM stations targeting females
> > 18-34 in NYC (WHTZ, WKTU, WNEW, WLTW, WPLJ) and almost as
> > many targeting males in that same demo (WFNY, WCBS, WQHT,
> > WWPR). You have a couple of 25-54's (WRKS, WQCD, WBLS,
> > WAXQ.. WLTW does well everywhere) The ONLY station
> > targeting (or trying to be inclusive to) an older demo
> > (35-64) is talker WABC and they do it well, for what it
> is,
> > but that's it.
>
> And what they sell is the 25-54 segment. And they have good
> enough numbers there to come in with nice CPP quotes.

No, they are all biting off one piece of pie. This is such a joke.


> So? Advertisers do not want 55+, and will tell their agency
> not to pay for it.

Advertiseres need to be reducated about how exactly their dollar is being spent. We're dealing with younger demos who don't hang around to hear their messages and are defecting to other forms of media. It's the older listeners who have the higher TSL and will stick thru stopsets instead of wandering around for content.

>
> > making alot of money.
>
> Again, this is a client dictate. Radio and radio statins
> have absolutely no control or power in this determination.
> >
>

That's why there needs to be more synergy between WHO is being represented by the agency that is buying the spot and the outlet that is AIRING the spot.
 
> > KRCD, KRCV, KLVE, KSCA, KLAX, KTNQ, KXOL, KLTX, KMXE, KBLA
>
> > (brokered), KWKW, KHJ, KLYY (it 60's much of the metro and
>
> > has had as high as a 3 share), KBUE, KBUA, KEBN, KWIZ,
> KSSE,
> > KWKU. The SE zone also has good signals from KDIF and
> KXSB,
> > and the North has a Lancaster Spanish station that
> sometimes
> > makes the book.
>
> None of the other stations you mentioned show up 12+ in the
> last book. Again, if I counted rimshotters, NY would have 4
> oldies station (WMTR, WKHL, WBZO, WREF).

Every one of them is home to the market and each covers a significant portion. KBLA is a 50 kw AM, signal comparable to 1560 in NY. Etc. Etc. Every one has shown in the book in the last year.

Remember, LA is a bigger radio market than NY.
>
> > >
> > > That's 11 legitimate, not 20 (and by legit, I have to be
>
> > > able to pick it up downtown on the worst radio known to
> > > man).
> >
> > LA and Orange Counties are huge, and nearly no signal
> covers
> > it all. And that is the LA MSA.
>
> The Class B FM's cover the entire area. I have no problem
> witn NYC Class B FM's some 60 miles east of Manhattan.
>
> >
> > A station that has gotten as much as a 3 share in the MSA
> > DOESN'T COUNT? How droll.
>
> KLYY has a 1.2 (12+ as of today) and it still beats KTNQ
> (0.6 12+ as of today), which is a 50kw'er, no?

KLYY is a local LA station. It is even considered ABOVE THE LINE by Arbitron. The format they have is dying, and every other US station with this format has dropped it in the last year. I know many good signals with low ratings... KMZT in LA is a beautiful grandfathered FM, but it, of its own choice, is doing classical and get very low ratings. On the other hand, the lowest powered station on Mt Wilson is in the top 5 in LA.

KTNQ does specialized talk. It is not supposed to be a big ratings getter, as blue collar talk in Mexico does not exist, and there is not a lot of white collar background 35+ Hispanic audience in LA.

The point is that all these signals are capable of generating ratings. Whehter they do or not depends on how good theprogrammers are. The competiton is just as heavy as in the gneeral market, in fact.
>
> If your 3 share is for a specific demo, please state so
> instead of just generalizing it.
>

Three share? We have 11.8 shares 12+ and 14.4 points in 25-54 as a cluster.

If you are referring to KLYY, that signal has, under a format they m9oved to 107.1, gotten above a 3.0 in the past. The frequency is eminently viable in LA, to the extent that Arbitron consideres it home to LA and below the line in Riverside.
 
Re: Legacy response.

>
> That's why there needs to be more synergy between WHO is
> being represented by the agency that is buying the spot and
> the outlet that is AIRING the spot.

The client gets an agency because they do not want to see reps from thousands of stations and have to design campaigns.

Clients specifically do not want to see stations. Visiting clients is considered a lack of ethics, and used in only extreme situations, and usually results in the station never getting business from the agency again.

The client does not buy directly, and does not want to.

Imagine the offices at Coke were the reps from all the media in the US to come calling? Even agencies prefer that out of town stations have national reps who call on behalf of hundreds of stations at a time.

You can not change the way marketing and advertising is done all over the world.

A simple explanation is that advertisers do not advertise to everyone. They advertise to the groups that consume the most and where the investment in advertising pays a larger return on the money spent. This is why beers do not advertise to 35-44 year old women... the return does not justify it... even if there are beer consumers there.
>
 
Spanish is not a format. It is a langauge. Oldies, or
> classic rock or country or dance or CHR exist in both
> languages.

English language formats this thread is not about spanish language stations
>
> In most things, markets with human beings in them are much
> more similar than different.

I can't agree with that and you know that's not true

>
> WRKS, WAXQ, WQCD, WBLS, WABC AM, WPAT FMand WQXR billed
> less. The first 4 were close to being in a tie, though

thank you
>




> WSNI is an AC, competing with Jerry Lee. I don't see much
> similarity at all. Neither do listeners. The oldies
> listeners in Philly do not give it the time of day.

philly is not new york david

i'm not comapring wsni to other philly stations i just used it as an example
and it is a gold AC not mainstream AC you can say closer to oldies than mainstream ac

> > joni caryl as you say a great programer especially for AC
> > stations what are the first noticable changes to kearth
> > since arrival of the new programer the older sounding
> t.o.h.
> > jingle is reinstated
>
> Jahni Kaye.

I corrected myself in my other post prior to your post see below
>
> The station sounds pretty much the same. But he has only
> been there a few weeks. I doubt any of us have any idea what
> he will do. Too bad Bill tanner did not get the job... that
> would have been oldies best chance at reinventing itself for
> 45-54.
> >
> > krth golden years not even comparable to the golden years
> @
> > cbs-fm for many reasons
>
> KRTH spent a time at #1 in LA. I can not find a single year
> where the 4 book average for CBS was good for #1, going back
> to 1975. I find several for KRTH.
>
>cbs-fm was #1 in N.y. at one time The famous saying was "they said an oldies station couldn't do it well we did it"

The talent on KRTH in the past, including Morgan and Steele
> compares in an exact paralle with the CBS talent.


yes it does I do agree
but your forgetting the differences in the music
cbs-fm with its specialty shows ect. always better than kearth
>

I can't post anymore on this topic. we beat it to death already i'm tired of it. we agree and disagree on certain points that's what makes radio fun and that's what keeps it fun. thank you for your imput david and i wish you alot of luck with your radio duties


Thanks again
 
> Spanish is not a format. It is a langauge. Oldies, or
> > classic rock or country or dance or CHR exist in both
> > languages.
>
> English language formats this thread is not about spanish
> language stations

Actually, it is about oldies. And oldies from the 60´s are oldies from the 60's.
> >
> > In most things, markets with human beings in them are much
>
> > more similar than different.
>
> I can't agree with that and you know that's not true

Everything I have done proves the contrary. Markets have nuances and things like different commute patterns, and there are cultural considerations... but people want essentially the same things from radio.
>
> > WSNI is an AC, competing with Jerry Lee. I don't see much
> > similarity at all. Neither do listeners. The oldies
> > listeners in Philly do not give it the time of day.
>
> philly is not new york david

But WSNI is not an oldies station. AC and Oldies are different formats, used for different moods if even shared.
>
> i'm not comapring wsni to other philly stations i just used
> it as an example
> and it is a gold AC not mainstream AC you can say closer to
> oldies than mainstream ac

Gold based ACs are still mood stations, using a different mix of music. Oldies appeal to a different mood. Listeners call gold AC station songs "favorites" and really do not generally mention that they play oldies.
> >
> > KRTH spent a time at #1 in LA. I can not find a single
> year
> > where the 4 book average for CBS was good for #1, going
> back
> > to 1975. I find several for KRTH.
> >
> >cbs-fm was #1 in N.y. at one time The famous saying was
> "they said an oldies station couldn't do it well we did it"
>
> The talent on KRTH in the past, including Morgan and Steele
>
> > compares in an exact paralle with the CBS talent.
>
>
> yes it does I do agree
> but your forgetting the differences in the music
> cbs-fm with its specialty shows ect. always better than
> kearth

That is a matter of opinion. I could argue that keeping the Do Wop Shop too long made CBS FM sound old, and uninviting to the younger end. KRTH also autbvilled CBS FM
 
Re: Legacy response.

> > You have never sold, have you? If you did, you would know
> > that agency buyers, responsible for most of the NY
> reveneue,
> > do not select demos. the agency client does, and they
> spend
> > hundreds of millions if not billions on research to
> identify
> > the prime consumers.
> >
> > You can not sell an agency demos they have been told NOT
> to
> > buy.
>
> Save the billions. It's this waste that will ensure that
> there will be no jobs in a dead industry in 20 years.
>
> > > There are too many FM stations targeting females
> > > 18-34 in NYC (WHTZ, WKTU, WNEW, WLTW, WPLJ) and almost
> as
> > > many targeting males in that same demo (WFNY, WCBS,
> WQHT,
> > > WWPR). You have a couple of 25-54's (WRKS, WQCD, WBLS,
> > > WAXQ.. WLTW does well everywhere) The ONLY station
> > > targeting (or trying to be inclusive to) an older demo
> > > (35-64) is talker WABC and they do it well, for what it
> > is,
> > > but that's it.
> >
> > And what they sell is the 25-54 segment. And they have
> good
> > enough numbers there to come in with nice CPP quotes.
>
> No, they are all biting off one piece of pie. This is such
> a joke.
>
>
> > So? Advertisers do not want 55+, and will tell their
> agency
> > not to pay for it.
>
> Advertiseres need to be reducated about how exactly their
> dollar is being spent. We're dealing with younger demos who
> don't hang around to hear their messages and are defecting
> to other forms of media. It's the older listeners who have
> the higher TSL and will stick thru stopsets instead of
> wandering around for content.
>
> >
> > > making alot of money.
> >
> > Again, this is a client dictate. Radio and radio statins
> > have absolutely no control or power in this determination.
>
> > >
> >
>
> That's why there needs to be more synergy between WHO is
> being represented by the agency that is buying the spot and
> the outlet that is AIRING the spot.

I am so tired of being called a stagnant demo. I am 61 years old. In the last 4 years I have owned four cars including a Mustang. I retired from one job and have another. I completely refurnished my apartment twice and I listen to everything except conservative talk, Alternative Rock and Rhythmic. My stations of choice are modern and Hot AC. HOwever I like oldies,jazz, and classic rock.

Further more, after my sex change, I entered an entirely new marketing sphere. So don't tell me older people don't spend money. Changing states, gender identity, and careers is hardly being stagnant.
>
 
Re: Legacy response.

> The client gets an agency because they do not want to see
> reps from thousands of stations and have to design
> campaigns.
>
> Clients specifically do not want to see stations. Visiting
> clients is considered a lack of ethics, and used in only
> extreme situations, and usually results in the station never
> getting business from the agency again.
>
> The client does not buy directly, and does not want to.

Then the client is a fool and radio is the emperor with no clothes. I know I would be quite pissed if my product was being placed on a radio station that is taking a small piece of one demo segment rather than someplace where I could have the opportunity of appealing to a larger number of people (a captured audience if you will) in a demo that was underserved.

That is common sense. And I agree with the 61 year old poster. The problem here is that this 61 year old is much different than 61 year olds in the past. This is the baby boomer TV generation that grew up influenced by ads. It's foolish and BAD business to ignore that.

The people in the desired demo don't give a damn about radio and will continue to defect. The numbers right now show radio listenership, but each year audience is erroding because radio is becoming passe as a portable medium. Open any electronics flyer and look at the ads on ads for Ipods and accessories. How many ads do you see for HD radio? The coming generations are not making radio a habit.

Those in the "undesired" demo are habitual radio listeners and would easily turn on one for entertainment. But the industry has chosen to ignore them. How stupid.

> You can not change the way marketing and advertising is done
> all over the world.

If we don't start changing the way radio does business, there won't be any business left to do.
 
Re: Time for a laugh.

>
> I am so tired of being called a stagnant demo. I am 61
> years old. In the last 4 years I have owned four cars
> including a Mustang. I retired from one job and have
> another. I completely refurnished my apartment twice and I
> listen to everything except conservative talk, Alternative
> Rock and Rhythmic. My stations of choice are modern and Hot
> AC. HOwever I like oldies,jazz, and classic rock.
>
> Further more, after my sex change, I entered an entirely
> new marketing sphere. So don't tell me older people don't
> spend money. Changing states, gender identity, and careers
> is hardly being stagnant.

Thank you. We needed a comic relief!
 
Re: How media is bought

> > The client gets an agency because they do not want to see
> > reps from thousands of stations and have to design
> > campaigns.
> >
> > Clients specifically do not want to see stations. Visiting
>
> > clients is considered a lack of ethics, and used in only
> > extreme situations, and usually results in the station
> never
> > getting business from the agency again.
> >
> > The client does not buy directly, and does not want to.
>
> Then the client is a fool and radio is the emperor with no
> clothes. I know I would be quite pissed if my product was
> being placed on a radio station that is taking a small piece
> of one demo segment rather than someplace where I could have
> the opportunity of appealing to a larger number of people (a
> captured audience if you will) in a demo that was
> underserved.


You are missing both points.

1. The advertiser determines the demographic target, based on marketing research and sales data and other metrics. They ask an agency to design a campaing and media strategy to reach that target, and no other. The agency follows the instructions of the client

2. Advertising is bought using a simple metric: cost per point. A rating point is on one-hundredth of the universe in the target that the advertiser specified. Let's say the target is Men 25-34. The agency looks at all stations that deliver that demo, no matter how many or how few. Since CPP allows one to compare stations with different audience sizes, they can measure the rate vs. delivery easily.

They agency gets quotes from the staton reps in each market. They run the math. They may have decided that in Miami, the CPP goal for that demo is $200. If a station has half a point (about a 4 share) and prices at $100, they are right on goal. If it charges $200, they are twice as expensive as another station that meets the CPP goal. They buy the stations that are most efficient in CPP. Often, a station may have a much higher rate... like an AC that does have 25-34 men, but not many. So its CPP against the target is too high.

The agency buys as many spots on each station as they need for the desired frequency, and as many different stations as they need for the desired reach of the campaign. They may buy some stations with a 10 share in-demo, and others with a 2 share, but which have the right rate.

It does not matter how big a total audience a station has. It only matters if the audience they do have is sold at the right CPP.
>
> That is common sense. And I agree with the 61 year old
> poster. The problem here is that this 61 year old is much
> different than 61 year olds in the past. This is the baby
> boomer TV generation that grew up influenced by ads. It's
> foolish and BAD business to ignore that.

This may change over time. For the moment, clients tell thier agencies to buy very specific demos, and 55+ is not one of them that is seen very often. In fact, the trend in recent years is towards 18-49 or subsets rather than 25-54.
>
> The people in the desired demo don't give a damn about radio
> and will continue to defect. The numbers right now show
> radio listenership, but each year audience is erroding
> because radio is becoming passe as a portable medium. Open
> any electronics flyer and look at the ads on ads for Ipods
> and accessories. How many ads do you see for HD radio? The
> coming generations are not making radio a habit.

With CPP, which allows determining costs based on a percentage of the universe (not a percentage of radio listeners, which is share), all the advertiser cares about is how many people will hear each ad and the reach & frequency of the total campaign in each market.
>
> Those in the "undesired" demo are habitual radio listeners
> and would easily turn on one for entertainment.

Actually, the two demos where there has been the most erosion (and only in non-Hispanic whites) are teens and 55+, and that is because there is no profit potential in serving them, so few stations target them... and they don't listen as much.

> But the
> industry has chosen to ignore them. How stupid.

Neither the advertising industry nor radio ignores them. Both know they exist, but can not make money off them, so there are no campaigns and no stations chasing the demos.
>
> > You can not change the way marketing and advertising is
> done
> > all over the world.
>
> If we don't start changing the way radio does business,
> there won't be any business left to do.

Radio is an ADVERTISING medium. Stations exist to serve advertisers by serving listeners. We can not, as radio stations, change the marketing goals of Proctor & Gamble and GM and Coke and all the thousand sof other local, regional and national advertising accounts.
 
Re: How media is bought

> You are missing both points.
>
> 1. The advertiser determines the demographic target, based
> on marketing research and sales data and other metrics. They
> ask an agency to design a campaing and media strategy to
> reach that target, and no other. The agency follows the
> instructions of the client

I'd love to know how accurate this research is. The agency is just a pawn but I still wonder if the client knows exactly how foolishly their money is being spent. This is another case of lemmings on the march in the broadcast industry, be it on the side of clients, the agency or the station.


>
> This may change over time. For the moment, clients tell
> thier agencies to buy very specific demos, and 55+ is not
> one of them that is seen very often. In fact, the trend in
> recent years is towards 18-49 or subsets rather than 25-54.

Getting younger in radio is foolish since younger people use other media sources. If radio is truly the the way Client X wants to go, they need to realize the options available to younger demos and I don't mean all the stations catering to them. How many 18-25 year olds carry around AM FM walkman for the radio? Usually there's an MP3 player attched.

>
> With CPP, which allows determining costs based on a
> percentage of the universe (not a percentage of radio
> listeners, which is share), all the advertiser cares about
> is how many people will hear each ad and the reach &
> frequency of the total campaign in each market.

The question is, in reality, how many are being reached. I wouldn't want to be would easily turn on one for entertainment.
>
> Actually, the two demos where there has been the most
> erosion (and only in non-Hispanic whites) are teens and 55+,
> and that is because there is no profit potential in serving
> them, so few stations target them... and they don't listen
> as much.

The 55+ doesn't have much of a choice unless he/she wants to learn how to use new tech to get the content they are looking for. Because many of these people grew up somewhat computer literate, the learning curve is probably not so difficult. The teens are learning about other tech (quickly) and may not make radio a habit at all. What does that say when they are 30 and walking around listening to the internet on their cell phones?

>
> Radio is an ADVERTISING medium. Stations exist to serve
> advertisers by serving listeners. We can not, as radio
> stations, change the marketing goals of Proctor & Gamble and
> GM and Coke and all the thousand sof other local, regional
> and national advertising accounts.

So then the medium is dead. If we cannot influence the advertisers to make wiser demo buys, what's going to be left? As it is we're introudcing a new generation to a life with options, portable options not even dreamed of when the Regency TR-1 came out in 1954. It's only going to get worse as radio continues to overserve very narrow demos. If you indeed program 18-49, you're discounting a large segment of the population (including the fringes... a 49 year old probably does not want to hear the same content as an 18 year old... same as 43 and 25).
 
Re: How media is bought

> > You are missing both points.
> >
> > 1. The advertiser determines the demographic target, based
>
> > on marketing research and sales data and other metrics.
> They
> > ask an agency to design a campaing and media strategy to
> > reach that target, and no other. The agency follows the
> > instructions of the client
>
> I'd love to know how accurate this research is.

If you think companies like P&G and Coke and McDonalds don't do the best research that can be done, you are sorely mistaken. Knowing who your customer is is critical in competitive American business. Billions are spent each year on consumer research by these companies and it is top secret.

This is just like the many, many millions radio companies spend on research (not to be confused with ratings) to find out about their product.

: The agency
> is just a pawn

No, the agency provides a specific service, just like a car painting company does. if you go in and ask to have your car done in soft blue, and they deliver it in vivid purple, you will ask for your money back, a new paint job or sue them. Advertisers tell agencies what to do, and they do it. they are specailly equipped to do one kind of job, and better able to do it than the in-house staff at the company.

> but I still wonder if the client knows
> exactly how foolishly their money is being spent.

Clients have ad managers who look at every campaign and media plan. They know and approve of the campaigns and placements. There is absolutely nothing foolish about a well done CPP based ad campaign, and this is how radio and TV and cable are bought. Internet is bought on similar metrics, and so is print. the advertiser knows who they are reaching, and how much each impression costs.

> This is
> another case of lemmings on the march in the broadcast
> industry, be it on the side of clients, the agency or the
> station.

The station is a medium. You know what that term means? It means "intermediary" and that is becasue radio or tv or print or any other form of the media is a conduit between consumers and advertisers. As such, we are selected or not by advertisers based on the size and cost efficiency of our audience delivery.
>
>
> >
> > This may change over time. For the moment, clients tell
> > thier agencies to buy very specific demos, and 55+ is not
> > one of them that is seen very often. In fact, the trend in
>
> > recent years is towards 18-49 or subsets rather than
> 25-54.
>
> Getting younger in radio is foolish since younger people use
> other media sources.

Gads! I am telling you advertisers are increasingly asking for 18-49 and not 25-54. Not radio, not agencies. Advertisers. Who cares what other media younger persons use. They have used print since before the invention of radio, and radio is one of many media options an advertiser uses as appropriate.

> If radio is truly the the way Client X
> wants to go, they need to realize the options available to
> younger demos and I don't mean all the stations catering to
> them. How many 18-25 year olds carry around AM FM walkman
> for the radio? Usually there's an MP3 player attched.

They buy radio based on audience delivery. Not potential audience, but real delivery. And they also buy against the younger demos in web ads, billboards, and even print!
>
> >
> > With CPP, which allows determining costs based on a
> > percentage of the universe (not a percentage of radio
> > listeners, which is share), all the advertiser cares about
>
> > is how many people will hear each ad and the reach &
> > frequency of the total campaign in each market.
>
> The question is, in reality, how many are being reached. I
> wouldn't want to be would easily turn on one for
> entertainment.

The fact is, campaigns in any medium are quantifiable based on number of impressions. Opinion is not a part of it. It is simply "how many people did we deliver our message to" and advertisers know that in any medium, a percentage is ignored... and that is part of the calculations of the necessary reach and frequency to make a sales impression.
> >
> > Actually, the two demos where there has been the most
> > erosion (and only in non-Hispanic whites) are teens and
> 55+,
> > and that is because there is no profit potential in
> serving
> > them, so few stations target them... and they don't listen
>
> > as much.
>
> The 55+ doesn't have much of a choice unless he/she wants to
> learn how to use new tech to get the content they are
> looking for.

Well, their radio listening is off. They may be using more TV, or they got satellite, wich are easy to use. The fact is, they have achoice and they use less radio.

> Because many of these people grew up somewhat
> computer literate, the learning curve is probably not so
> difficult. The teens are learning about other tech
> (quickly) and may not make radio a habit at all. What does
> that say when they are 30 and walking around listening to
> the internet on their cell phones?

Guess where the cntent will come from. Content is not someone with Winamp streaming 500 songs. Content is talent and putting together a show. The same people who control content now will provide it on different channels later... and they will price advertising with the same criteria they do today.
>
> >
> > Radio is an ADVERTISING medium. Stations exist to serve
> > advertisers by serving listeners. We can not, as radio
> > stations, change the marketing goals of Proctor & Gamble
> and
> > GM and Coke and all the thousand sof other local, regional
>
> > and national advertising accounts.
>
> So then the medium is dead. If we cannot influence the
> advertisers to make wiser demo buys, what's going to be
> left?

You are calling major marketers stupid? Mhat is really funny? Where did you get your marketing MBA?

Let's use beer again... as an exapmple. Beer companies do tons of research, both perceptual and sales analysis. They know that most beer consumption is by males, and in the of-age to about 45 demo. They know that the sports fans are the biggest group within this demo in terms of consumption. And they know that people outside this group generally consume so little beer as to be inefficient targets, where consumption does not pay for the advertising. So they put all thier money where the consumption is. They know exaxctly who buys, and they tell the agency how to do the campaign.

This applies to web, direct mail, print, cable, and any other medium. It is the identification of the message, the product and the consumer that will create the most sales.

This is not a radio only issue. This is who all advertising is done in all media in every free economy in the world.

> As it is we're introudcing a new generation to a life
> with options, portable options not even dreamed of when the
> Regency TR-1 came out in 1954. It's only going to get worse
> as radio continues to overserve very narrow demos.

You are blaming radio for the way marketing and advertising works. Get real. This has NOTHING to do with radio or, for that matter, with the media. It is about highly sophisticated marketing.

> If you
> indeed program 18-49, you're discounting a large segment of
> the population (including the fringes... a 49 year old
> probably does not want to hear the same content as an 18
> year old... same as 43 and 25).

We know that. However, I said that advertisers were increasingly looking for 18-49 and the subsets of that demo. Like Men 18-34 or women 35-44 or Hispanic females 25-49. the fact is, there are very few ad buys in mass circulation media for anything outside this.
>
 
Re: Radio Joke

> > I know their signals arent that great but what about WLIB
> or
> > WWRL?
>
> - Hey, boss! I have an idea for you!
>
> - Sure. Whatcha got?
>
> - Let´s do music on the AM station!
>
> - You're fired!!!!
> >
>

Oh sure...that's right. No AM station playing music anywhere on the planet ever makes any money. Try to look past your own opinion of Oldies and think intelligently (if possible) for a moment. There is a huge format hole in NYC that caters to an upper demo of 45+. People in that demo still have no qualms about listening to AM radio if they want the product. Many of these AM stations would see a revenue boost by making the switch. It good business sense and as to the previous poster's question of why they haven't done it yet if it's such a good idea...because most of us in radio have lost our guts to take a chance. Don't believe me? Just listen to the cloning all over the dial.
 
Re: Radio Joke

> Oh sure...that's right. No AM station playing music
> anywhere on the planet ever makes any money.

In the US, which is the subject of this discussion, there are very few. Most are in small markets, or doing a highly niche format like gospel or ethnic where there is no alternative for a well defined group or lifestyle.

In some other countries, it is more extreme. Buenas Aires, Argentina, has near 20 million in themetro, and 13 licensed AMs (excluding X-band community stations) and all are talk or sports. No music on AM at lall, going back at least a decade. In Santiago, Chile, a half dozen AMs, including one 100 kw clear channel station, have turned in their licences. No music except religion.

> Try to look
> past your own opinion of Oldies and think intelligently (if
> possible) for a moment. There is a huge format hole in NYC
> that caters to an upper demo of 45+.

45-54 is well served. 55+ has a sales problem, not a programming problem. You could not sell anything on a big AM targeting 55+ with music in NY.

> People in that demo
> still have no qualms about listening to AM radio if they
> want the product.

Many if not most go to AM for talk. But once you have tried music on FM, most will not put up with it, even if it is very, very good.

> Many of these AM stations would see a
> revenue boost by making the switch.

Most would go broke. There is no revenue in a big market for a music AM programmed for general market 55+. In smaller markets, like those under the top 100 or 150, there is less transactional business and local advertisers can be confvinced to try an older skewing station... sometimes very successfully.

> It good business sense
> and as to the previous poster's question of why they haven't
> done it yet if it's such a good idea...because most of us in
> radio have lost our guts to take a chance. Don't believe
> me? Just listen to the cloning all over the dial.

The previously posted list included stations firmly commited to thier formats...

WOR... huge biller
ESPN... part of the disney marketing plan.
1560... part of the disney marketing plan.
1120... key to the Bloomberg presence in the financial capital of the USA.
>
 
Sad as it may be, ladies and gentlemen: if there was such an obvious hole for Oldies, it would have long been filled. Breaks my heart to say so, but reality is reality.

On the whole Oldies on AM in general, forget it. Once you're accustomed to the fidelity of FM, AM sounds cheap and cheesy for most forms of music. Plus, I also think there's a perception challenge here- "geez, my music got relegated to the AM dial? Must not be so en vogue anymore".
 
Re: Radio Joke

.
>
> In the US, which is the subject of this discussion, there
> are very few. Most are in small markets, or doing a highly
> niche format like gospel or ethnic where there is no
> alternative for a well defined group or lifestyle.

Wrong. There are plenty of AM stations playing music to the same older demos that Oldies appeals to. Many of them are doing fine. Again....I'm not saying an AM station in NYC is going to be a top 10 biller....but it will produce more revenue than many are presently. Canand has a tremendous amount of financially successful AM stations programmibng many varied mainstream music formats.
>

>

>
> 45-54 is well served. 55+ has a sales problem, not a
> programming problem. You could not sell anything on a big AM
> targeting 55+ with music in NY.

There is no Oldies station going after the 45+ demo....that is what we call a "wide-open format hole". CBS-FM had a 4-5 share of this demo and...as I stated before but you ignore to try and make your point...they were billing about $30mil per year. A good percentage of that would still be available to a viable AM station that took the format and many of the listeners.
>

>
> Many if not most go to AM for talk. But once you have tried
> music on FM, most will not put up with it, even if it is
> very, very good.

Really? See my observation two statements above.
>


> Most would go broke. There is no revenue in a big market for
> a music AM programmed for general market 55+. In smaller
> markets, like those under the top 100 or 150, there is less
> transactional business and local advertisers can be
> confvinced to try an older skewing station... sometimes very
> successfully.

You are simply wrong. There is $30 mil that was being sold on CBS-FM with that demo.
>
> The previously posted list included stations firmly commited
> to thier formats...
>
> WOR... huge biller
> ESPN... part of the disney marketing plan.
> 1560... part of the disney marketing plan.
> 1120... key to the Bloomberg presence in the financial
> capital of the USA.
One thing you have to learn my friend...money talks and if the powers that be think they can do better going in another ditrection they will. But this is all conjecture at this point....with the latest ratings....we may very well yet see CBS-FM return to it's Oldies format. They have lost overall ratings and revenue from what they projected.

I know you don't like the Oldies format and AM radio at all....but you use those thoughts to try and rationalize something that you simply can't. Try running a radio station and then see if you have the same opinions. You must walk a mile in our shoes. And me? Yes, i own radio stations and have for years.
 
Re: How media is bought

> If you think companies like P&G and Coke and McDonalds don't
> do the best research that can be done, you are sorely
> mistaken. Knowing who your customer is is critical in
> competitive American business. Billions are spent each year
> on consumer research by these companies and it is top
> secret.

I do think it is flawed, when I hear people bitch about the same ol on radio, yet research says that this is what they want.


>
> This is just like the many, many millions radio companies
> spend on research (not to be confused with ratings) to find
> out about their product.
>
> : The agency
> > is just a pawn
>
> No, the agency provides a specific service, just like a car
> painting company does.

Then they are a pawn

> Advertisers tell agencies what to do, and they do it.

Pawn.


> Clients have ad managers who look at every campaign and
> media plan. They know and approve of the campaigns and
> placements. There is absolutely nothing foolish about a well
> done CPP based ad campaign, and this is how radio and TV and
> cable are bought.

There is no CPP when the "P" is a 25 year old male looking for other content while the ad plays. Maybe you're lucky someone in a waiting room or stuck in a cab hears it.

> The station is a medium. You know what that term means? It
> means "intermediary" and that is becasue radio or tv or
> print or any other form of the media is a conduit between
> consumers and advertisers. As such, we are selected or not
> by advertisers based on the size and cost efficiency of our
> audience delivery.

Spending the last 18 years in radio, I think I know a definition or two, but thanks for trying to clear it up. Let's say you were the client and you had your choice as to where to place ads. Which "medium" would you choose?

>
> Gads! I am telling you advertisers are increasingly asking
> for 18-49 and not 25-54. Not radio, not agencies. Advertisers.

You're missing the point. IF you, as a CLIENT, wanted radio, do you want to target a demo that is less likely to use radio and has OTHER MEANS of entertainment over an older demo that has long established radio habits?

> Who cares what other media younger persons use.

You better if you don't want to find work outside of radio.

> They have used print since before the invention of radio,
> and radio is one of many media options an advertiser uses as
> appropriate.

But how appropriate IS it compared to other media options TODAY vs 10-20 years ago?

>
> They buy radio based on audience delivery. Not potential
> audience, but real delivery. And they also buy against the
> younger demos in web ads, billboards, and even print!

You can't turn off a billboard (you COULD choose to ignore it) and web ads pop up wherever they want as you enter an exit Yahoo, Google etc. People will seek out magazines and newspapers based on interest and have to have a fixed scope and if that interest is there, so be it. We're talking about radio, with limited spectrum and choices for a given area (conventional AM FM) vs other ways to listen to content (I-Pod, CD, Sattelite). You can have an endless number of magazines on a rack but that's not the same on the radio dial.


> The fact is, campaigns in any medium are quantifiable based
> on number of impressions. Opinion is not a part of it. It is
> simply "how many people did we deliver our message to" and
> advertisers know that in any medium, a percentage is
> ignored... and that is part of the calculations of the
> necessary reach and frequency to make a sales impression.

Fair enough


> Well, their radio listening is off. They may be using more
> TV, or they got satellite, wich are easy to use. The fact
> is, they have achoice and they use less radio.

Their radio listening is off because of fewer choices. Did you expect them to continue to listen when they are being ignored?

> Guess where the cntent will come from. Content is not
> someone with Winamp streaming 500 songs. Content is talent
> and putting together a show. The same people who control
> content now will provide it on different channels later...
> and they will price advertising with the same criteria they
> do today.

I gather you are talking about HD and multicasting? Fine. Ignoring the engineering problems, let's talk about marketing. When will iBqiuity get their act together and realize they need to be the driving force behind the promotion of this INSTEAD of leaving it to die at the feat of broadcasters?

I give you Crutchfield, Circuit City, Best Buy, Sharper Image. These catalogs of late have had more than their fair share of features for I-Pods and accessories. Where is the HD stuff? I know where I can buy a reclining massage lounger that has a port where I can plug in my I-Pod, but if I walk into Best Buy and ask for an HD receiver, you get blank stares.


> You are calling major marketers stupid? Mhat is really
> funny? Where did you get your marketing MBA?

Yes I am. They are stupid RIGHT NOW if they HONESTLY feel they are getting the right bang for the buck for their ads. Screw the degree, look at the forest, understand the other choices available and adapt instead of sailing guns ablaze into the abyss.

>
> Let's use beer again... as an exapmple. Beer companies do
> tons of research, both perceptual and sales analysis. They
> know that most beer consumption is by males, and in the
> of-age to about 45 demo. They know that the sports fans are
> the biggest group within this demo in terms of consumption.

How about people with MBA's who are out of work?

> And they know that people outside this group generally
> consume so little beer as to be inefficient targets, where
> consumption does not pay for the advertising.

Haven't met my drunk 60 year old uncle, eh?
radio continues to overserve very narrow demos.
>
> You are blaming radio for the way marketing and advertising
> works. Get real. This has NOTHING to do with radio or, for
> that matter, with the media. It is about highly
> sophisticated marketing.

It has become so convoluted that it has boxed itself in the corner (or rather, it has outgrown what radio has to offer for effectiveness). This is what happens when the house of cards becomes to tall to support itself.


> We know that. However, I said that advertisers were
> increasingly looking for 18-49 and the subsets of that demo.
> Like Men 18-34 or women 35-44 or Hispanic females 25-49. the
> fact is, there are very few ad buys in mass circulation
> media for anything outside this.

And while newspaper and TV will be able to benefit, radio cannot IF it cannot supply content to draw in listeners and that includes teens and people who have well established radio habits.
 
Re: How media is bought

> > If you think companies like P&G and Coke and McDonalds
> don't
> > do the best research that can be done, you are sorely
> > mistaken. Knowing who your customer is is critical in
> > competitive American business. Billions are spent each
> year
> > on consumer research by these companies and it is top
> > secret.
>
> I do think it is flawed, when I hear people bitch about the
> same ol on radio, yet research says that this is what they
> want.

Themodel for marketing at the advertiser level is proven going back to the 20's. It is about asking people what they like and buy and correlating with sales data. It's pretty standard.

Radio research does not tell us people want anything different in 25-54 or 18-49 than what they get. Obviously, int he small markets where the non ehtnic erosion is more noticable, the problem is local radio economics of what owners can afford to do in low billing markets.
>
>
> >
> > This is just like the many, many millions radio companies
> > spend on research (not to be confused with ratings) to
> find
> > out about their product.
> >
> > : The agency
> > > is just a pawn
> >
> > No, the agency provides a specific service, just like a
> car
> > painting company does.
>
> Then they are a pawn

So is a any company that serves as an intermediary, such as the US Postal Service or FedEx or American Airlines, an architect or a house painter. They provide service on demand to precise specifications.
>
> > Advertisers tell agencies what to do, and they do it.
>
> Pawn.

Any service business provides services the buyer wants. Same in advertising.
>
>
> > Clients have ad managers who look at every campaign and
> > media plan. They know and approve of the campaigns and
> > placements. There is absolutely nothing foolish about a
> well
> > done CPP based ad campaign, and this is how radio and TV
> and
> > cable are bought.
>
> There is no CPP when the "P" is a 25 year old male looking
> for other content while the ad plays. Maybe you're lucky
> someone in a waiting room or stuck in a cab hears it.

A point represents actual listening. It does not represent people who are not listening.
>
> > The station is a medium. You know what that term means? It
>
> > means "intermediary" and that is becasue radio or tv or
> > print or any other form of the media is a conduit between
> > consumers and advertisers. As such, we are selected or not
>
> > by advertisers based on the size and cost efficiency of
> our
> > audience delivery.
>
> Spending the last 18 years in radio, I think I know a
> definition or two, but thanks for trying to clear it up.
> Let's say you were the client and you had your choice as to
> where to place ads. Which "medium" would you choose?

Depends on the product and my own research on where I can get them most efficiently. Each medium has specific advantages and disadvantages.
>
> >
> > Gads! I am telling you advertisers are increasingly asking
>
> > for 18-49 and not 25-54. Not radio, not agencies.
> Advertisers.
>
> You're missing the point. IF you, as a CLIENT, wanted
> radio, do you want to target a demo that is less likely to
> use radio and has OTHER MEANS of entertainment over an older
> demo that has long established radio habits?

The client generall doe snot select the media mix. The agency presents plans, designed to maximize reach and frequency and lower costs. With the client, they determine how to proceed. Radio is such asmall part, it is usually included for its low cost to supplement.
>
> > Who cares what other media younger persons use.
>
> You better if you don't want to find work outside of radio.

So far, the teens come to radio when they no longer have time to spend on alternate media on all occasions. Any change is going to take a decade or more.

I am seing growth in 18-24 on our younger targeted stations.
>
> > They have used print since before the invention of radio,
> > and radio is one of many media options an advertiser uses
> as
> > appropriate.
>
> But how appropriate IS it compared to other media options
> TODAY vs 10-20 years ago?

Again, radio is priced on points in each market. Yoiu pay for what you get. It does not matter to an advertiser if half the people no longer use radio (it is only 6% now) but how much each listener that is there costs to reach.
>
> >
> > They buy radio based on audience delivery. Not potential
> > audience, but real delivery. And they also buy against the
>
> > younger demos in web ads, billboards, and even print!
>
> You can't turn off a billboard (you COULD choose to ignore
> it) and web ads pop up wherever they want as you enter an
> exit Yahoo, Google etc. People will seek out magazines and
> newspapers based on interest and have to have a fixed scope
> and if that interest is there, so be it. We're talking
> about radio, with limited spectrum and choices for a given
> area (conventional AM FM) vs other ways to listen to content
> (I-Pod, CD, Sattelite). You can have an endless number of
> magazines on a rack but that's not the same on the radio
> dial.

Well, right now, 4 years agter XM launched, radio reaaches around 94% of all Americans, within one share of the reach in 1965. Whiners appear to be numerous... all they are is loud.
>
>
> > The fact is, campaigns in any medium are quantifiable
> based
> > on number of impressions. Opinion is not a part of it. It
> is
> > simply "how many people did we deliver our message to" and
>
> > advertisers know that in any medium, a percentage is
> > ignored... and that is part of the calculations of the
> > necessary reach and frequency to make a sales impression.
>
>
> Fair enough
>
>
> > Well, their radio listening is off. They may be using more
>
> > TV, or they got satellite, wich are easy to use. The fact
> > is, they have achoice and they use less radio.
>
> Their radio listening is off because of fewer choices. Did
> you expect them to continue to listen when they are being
> ignored?

We don't care what 55+ do as we do not, as an industry, address them specifically as the economic model for that does not exist.
>
> > Guess where the cntent will come from. Content is not
> > someone with Winamp streaming 500 songs. Content is talent
>
> > and putting together a show. The same people who control
> > content now will provide it on different channels later...
>
> > and they will price advertising with the same criteria
> they
> > do today.
>
> I gather you are talking about HD and multicasting?

No, I am talking about providing content through any distribution channel available, not an off air signal. I can stream, podcast, and even wifi or wimax my content if the economics make sense. We had 5 channels on XM, but it made no sense and we stopped.

> Fine.
> Ignoring the engineering problems, let's talk about
> marketing. When will iBqiuity get their act together and
> realize they need to be the driving force behind the
> promotion of this INSTEAD of leaving it to die at the feat
> of broadcasters?

The consortium is putting hundreds of millions against HD as the Chinese launch receivers during 2006. Right now, the focus is on infrastructure... getting statins on. But this is only asmall part of expanding delivery channels, and not even the best one.
>
> I give you Crutchfield, Circuit City, Best Buy, Sharper
> Image. These catalogs of late have had more than their fair
> share of features for I-Pods and accessories. Where is the
> HD stuff? I know where I can buy a reclining massage
> lounger that has a port where I can plug in my I-Pod, but if
> I walk into Best Buy and ask for an HD receiver, you get
> blank stares.

Mass market devices are a year off.
>
>
> > You are calling major marketers stupid? Mhat is really
> > funny? Where did you get your marketing MBA?
>
> Yes I am. They are stupid RIGHT NOW if they HONESTLY feel
> they are getting the right bang for the buck for their ads.
> Screw the degree, look at the forest, understand the other
> choices available and adapt instead of sailing guns ablaze
> into the abyss.

They pày for the listeners they reach. They do not pay for listeners they do not reach. This is perfect economic sense.
>
> >
> > Let's use beer again... as an exapmple. Beer companies do
> > tons of research, both perceptual and sales analysis. They
>
> > know that most beer consumption is by males, and in the
> > of-age to about 45 demo. They know that the sports fans
> are
> > the biggest group within this demo in terms of
> consumption.
>
> How about people with MBA's who are out of work?

Small demo.
>
> > And they know that people outside this group generally
> > consume so little beer as to be inefficient targets, where
>
> > consumption does not pay for the advertising.
>
> Haven't met my drunk 60 year old uncle, eh?

We all have a funny uncle. But the big consumption is not with drunks, apparently, either.

> radio continues to overserve very narrow demos.
> >
> > You are blaming radio for the way marketing and
> advertising
> > works. Get real. This has NOTHING to do with radio or, for
>
> > that matter, with the media. It is about highly
> > sophisticated marketing.
>
> It has become so convoluted that it has boxed itself in the
> corner (or rather, it has outgrown what radio has to offer
> for effectiveness). This is what happens when the house of
> cards becomes to tall to support itself.

Advertisers pick media for delivery, not non delivery. And delivery is quantifiable in all media.

We know that. However, I said that advertisers were
> > increasingly looking for 18-49 and the subsets of that
> demo.
> > Like Men 18-34 or women 35-44 or Hispanic females 25-49.
> the
> > fact is, there are very few ad buys in mass circulation
> > media for anything outside this.
>
> And while newspaper and TV will be able to benefit, radio
> cannot IF it cannot supply content to draw in listeners and
> that includes teens and people who have well established
> radio habits.

Teens are not of interest. 55+ are not of interest. We do not go after them, just as exterminators do not promote the riddance of tigers from homes in Syaracuse. When there is no need, there is no service.
>
 
Re: How media is bought

>
> Themodel for marketing at the advertiser level is proven
> going back to the 20's. It is about asking people what they
> like and buy and correlating with sales data. It's pretty
> standard.

It's about how the people are questioned.


> So is a any company that serves as an intermediary, such as
> the US Postal Service or FedEx or American Airlines, an
> architect or a house painter. They provide service on demand
> to precise specifications.

Yes, but they are at the beckon call of the comsumer or client. For lack of a sexy word, they are pawn.


>
> A point represents actual listening. It does not represent
> people who are not listening.

Missing the point. Numbers are smokescreens. The 25 year old is probably not sticking with the stopset.

>
> The client generall doe snot select the media mix. The
> agency presents plans, designed to maximize reach and
> frequency and lower costs. With the client, they determine
> how to proceed. Radio is such asmall part, it is usually
> included for its low cost to supplement.

But as far as radio is concerned, where do you see that in the mix?

>
> So far, the teens come to radio when they no longer have
> time to spend on alternate media on all occasions. Any
> change is going to take a decade or more.

Do you plan to be retired in 10 years?

>
> Again, radio is priced on points in each market. Yoiu pay
> for what you get. It does not matter to an advertiser if
> half the people no longer use radio (it is only 6% now) but
> how much each listener that is there costs to reach.

Is that (6%) based on sets in US households or numbers of people actually using radio vs total population?


> Well, right now, 4 years agter XM launched, radio reaaches
> around 94% of all Americans, within one share of the reach
> in 1965. Whiners appear to be numerous... all they are is
> loud.

Well, does that mean 89% of Los Angeles is not listening to you 11 share? Same logic.

> We don't care what 55+ do as we do not, as an industry,
> address them specifically as the economic model for that
> does not exist.

Why doesn't it exist?

re talking about HD and multicasting?

> The consortium is putting hundreds of millions against HD as
> the Chinese launch receivers during 2006. Right now, the
> focus is on infrastructure... getting statins on. But this
> is only asmall part of expanding delivery channels, and not
> even the best one.

Well, they were supposed to have the 4th Q 2004, then Jan 2005, then by Christmas 2005, now by when?

In NYC, enough are on where there should be displays in electronics stores pointing people to the tech. All CC stations, 2 CBS stations, WNYC, WPLJ, WCAA. You need to be getting this into people's heads TODAY, not TOMMORROW.


>
> Mass market devices are a year off.

We've been waiting since 2004, 2 years ago.


>
> They pày for the listeners they reach. They do not pay for
> listeners they do not reach. This is perfect economic sense.

Common sense?

> > How about people with MBA's who are out of work?
>
> Small demo.

That was a joke, but thanks!

> >
> > Haven't met my drunk 60 year old uncle, eh?
>
> We all have a funny uncle. But the big consumption is not
> with drunks, apparently, either.

That was also a joke


> Teens are not of interest. 55+ are not of interest. We do
> not go after them, just as exterminators do not promote the
> riddance of tigers from homes in Syaracuse. When there is no
> need, there is no service.

So we hope they find radio?
 
Re: Radio Joke

> .
> >
> > In the US, which is the subject of this discussion, there
> > are very few. Most are in small markets, or doing a highly
> > niche format like gospel or ethnic where there is no
> > alternative for a well defined group or lifestyle.
>
> Wrong. There are plenty of AM stations playing music to the
> same older demos that Oldies appeals to.

In larger markets... and I mean the top 100 or 150 markets, the AM music stations are, as I said, either things like gospel or ethnic. The ones doing standards or some variant are usually daytimers, suburban or have some other impediment that does not allow them to compete with the major stations for top dollar revenue, so they live of low rate spots ona frugal operation. An example would be WHLI 1100... low, low billing, but they probably make a tiny amount as it is a tag-algon to a big cluster.

> Many of them are
> doing fine.

Most are not, and are barely hanging on. If a cluster of big stations has a dog AM, they can run the station off a computer in a closet, add alittle business and be OK. As long as they did not pay much for it, it makes no sense to get rid of, either.

> Again....I'm not saying an AM station in NYC is
> going to be a top 10 biller....but it will produce more
> revenue than many are presently. Canand has a tremendous
> amount of financially successful AM stations programmibng
> many varied mainstream music formats.

Name a few, please, that are not in unrated, nontransactional markets.

In any case, the subject was converting 1130, 710, 1330 or 1560 to oldies. All four of these stations are far better off as they are now than were they oldies. Three of them are not programmed for direct profits, but as enhancements for brands and can be considered to be run for the promotional value that accrues to the brand. The other is a major biller, around $20 million, and would not change to AM music.

> > 45-54 is well served. 55+ has a sales problem, not a
> > programming problem. You could not sell anything on a big
> AM
> > targeting 55+ with music in NY.
>
> There is no Oldies station going after the 45+ demo....that
> is what we call a "wide-open format hole". CBS-FM had a 4-5
> share of this demo and...as I stated before but you ignore
> to try and make your point...they were billing about $30mil
> per year. A good percentage of that would still be
> available to a viable AM station that took the format and
> many of the listeners.

Money is not available to a format. It is available based on audience delivery, especially in New York. If a station gets a 1 share, they bill about 1% of the commercial station revenue in NY... around $11 million.

And the point is that CBS-FM was on a very severe downtrend, as the audience was too old to sell. Nobody, on AM, FM or CB radio can sell in a demo that is ageing out of the sales demos. In other words, the 45-54 share for oldies is about 5% or more less each year. So in a couple of years, the share potential is even lower.

> > Many if not most go to AM for talk. But once you have
> tried
> > music on FM, most will not put up with it, even if it is
> > very, very good.
>
> Really? See my observation two statements above.

What obvservation? I do not see any well billing AM music formats outside the examples I gave.
>
> > Most would go broke. There is no revenue in a big market
> for
> > a music AM programmed for general market 55+. In smaller
> > markets, like those under the top 100 or 150, there is
> less
> > transactional business and local advertisers can be
> > confvinced to try an older skewing station... sometimes
> very
> > successfully.
>
> You are simply wrong. There is $30 mil that was being sold
> on CBS-FM with that demo.

There was $30 million for am over-3 share, about $11 million a share. There is no "oldies money" anywhere. And any station that got a lower share would get a proportionally lower share of revenue. And if they audience was over 55, as most is now, especially with AM, the revenue would be worse.
> >
> > The previously posted list included stations firmly
> commited
> > to thier formats...
> >
> > WOR... huge biller
> > ESPN... part of the disney marketing plan.
> > 1560... part of the disney marketing plan.
> > 1120... key to the Bloomberg presence in the financial
> > capital of the USA.

> One thing you have to learn my friend...money talks and if
> the powers that be think they can do better going in another
> ditrection they will.

Disney has specifically excluded ESPN and Radio Disney from the bids for the radio group, because the stations are part of a billion dollar brand. Both Eisner and Iger specifically stated how significant the radio branding was to the Disney and ESPN marks.

And Bloomberg must have the station as part of his service and brand enhancement for the financial community in NY.

And WOR is billin $20 million.

An AM will always get shorter TSL, so even if the did get some people, the shares would be low. Ans share determines revenue, as long as there is some under-55 listening.

> But this is all conjecture at this
> point....with the latest ratings....we may very well yet see
> CBS-FM return to it's Oldies format. They have lost overall
> ratings and revenue from what they projected.

Actually, they were way up in 25-54, compared to the old format. And the spread in 35-54 is much better balanced.
>
> I know you don't like the Oldies format and AM radio at
> all....but you use those thoughts to try and rationalize
> something that you simply can't.

Funny, just 1 hour and 20 minutes ago, I launced an oldies network including 4 of the top 10 markets in the USA, and 2 more in the top 15. I do not see how you can say I do not like oldies. I love oldies formats, but they have to be done for a new demo. Oldies is not synonomous with 60s songs alone.

> Try running a radio
> station and then see if you have the same opinions.

I have owned a group of 12 operating stations. I have been general manager at multiple top 20 market stations, and even been a group COO overseeing about 20 stations.

I have beent here and done that.

> You
> must walk a mile in our shoes. And me? Yes, i own radio
> stations and have for years.

Then you should be able to point out easily the profitable, top 100 or top 150 market AM music stations that are outside my exception list.
 
Re: How media is bought

> >
> > Themodel for marketing at the advertiser level is proven
> > going back to the 20's. It is about asking people what
> they
> > like and buy and correlating with sales data. It's pretty
> > standard.
>
> It's about how the people are questioned.

You really think that the people at P&G are idiots? They do research, refined over decades, that will help them in product development, test marketing, packaging and advertising. They actually verify the effectiveness of advertising, using sales data from scanned locations.

Some of these companies do what is likely the most accurate, strategic and intense research in the world. The definitely know how to do a questionnaire.

> > So is a any company that serves as an intermediary, such
> as
> > the US Postal Service or FedEx or American Airlines, an
> > architect or a house painter. They provide service on
> demand
> > to precise specifications.
>
> Yes, but they are at the beckon call of the comsumer or
> client. For lack of a sexy word, they are pawn.

The US now has a service based economy. So most Americans, per your criteria, are pawns. I´d add an "r" as, at least, prawns are edible and deliciousl with lemon.

> > A point represents actual listening. It does not represent
>
> > people who are not listening.
>
> Missing the point. Numbers are smokescreens. The 25 year
> old is probably not sticking with the stopset.

No indication in the PPM tests that they are leaving in significant numbers. The fact is, advertisers know that a big percentage of advertising is not heard, seen or read, and that is factored in.

> > The client generall doe snot select the media mix. The
> > agency presents plans, designed to maximize reach and
> > frequency and lower costs. With the client, they determine
>
> > how to proceed. Radio is such asmall part, it is usually
> > included for its low cost to supplement.
>
> But as far as radio is concerned, where do you see that in
> the mix?

Radio is very reasonably priced as both a reach and frequency medium. It is good for immediacy, and excellent to support other media. It will have a place for several decades, and probably metamorposize to a different delivery model, ad based, but still radio.
>
> > So far, the teens come to radio when they no longer have
> > time to spend on alternate media on all occasions. Any
> > change is going to take a decade or more.
>
> Do you plan to be retired in 10 years?

Actually, I have been wanting to retire for about 5 years, but am enjoying radio too much to stop.
>
> > Again, radio is priced on points in each market. Yoiu pay
> > for what you get. It does not matter to an advertiser if
> > half the people no longer use radio (it is only 6% now)
> but
> > how much each listener that is there costs to reach.
>
> Is that (6%) based on sets in US households or numbers of
> people actually using radio vs total population?

The 6% is the percentage of 12+ persons who do not use radio in any given week. Incidentally, a BBM study in Canada showed that about half that number did not listen because they were ill, working overtime, had a family emergency or were travelling.

In any case, about 93% to 95% of Americans do use radio each week, down a little over a percent over the last 40 years since Arbitron began. Also, if one tabulates diaries, you find there are, in most makrets around 7% who listen to very little radio. Some is due to things ranging from religious reasons to lack of a format or radio in a language that would be appealing. And some is just rejectin of commercial radio. That, too, has always existed.

Radio is measured at the respondent level, not by household. TV is measured by household.
>
>
> > Well, right now, 4 years agter XM launched, radio reaaches
>
> > around 94% of all Americans, within one share of the reach
>
> > in 1965. Whiners appear to be numerous... all they are is
> > loud.
>
> Well, does that mean 89% of Los Angeles is not listening to
> you 11 share? Same logic.

LA has about 60 stations that "make the book" and, yesterday, 16 of those in Spanish them made the book. Spanish stations account for about 26% of listening, divided among, rounded, 15 stations. The other 74% is divided among 45 English "in the book" stations. In other words, the ratio of stations to share is identical in both segments.

Nearly half of those who could lsiten to us do.
>
> > We don't care what 55+ do as we do not, as an industry,
> > address them specifically as the economic model for that
> > does not exist.
>
> Why doesn't it exist?

Because, as I have said, advertisers do not put money against 55+ in electroinc media.
>
> Well, they were supposed to have the 4th Q 2004, then Jan
> 2005, then by Christmas 2005, now by when?

I don´t know who told you that. The first steop is getting stations on the air. We still only have about 500, and the manufacturers want to see supprt and commitment. It is coming, but it is not the fix-all for any real or perceived problems.
>
> In NYC, enough are on where there should be displays in
> electronics stores pointing people to the tech. All CC
> stations, 2 CBS stations, WNYC, WPLJ, WCAA. You need to be
> getting this into people's heads TODAY, not TOMMORROW.

It begins whent he cheaper radios are out. Not before.

> > Mass market devices are a year off.
> We've been waiting since 2004, 2 years ago.

No, the system has been in development since the early 90's. The codec was not even finalized until last year, and the design specs for radios and chips not releasted until November.
>
> > Teens are not of interest. 55+ are not of interest. We do
> > not go after them, just as exterminators do not promote
> the
> > riddance of tigers from homes in Syaracuse. When there is
> no
> > need, there is no service.
>
> So we hope they find radio?

They seem to. A comparable phenomenon can be seen among Hispanics of second generation who spek mostly English while in school... but when they marry or get job responsibility they use Spanish more and tend to become more Spanish speaking over time, and this is called "cultural reversion." The same happens with alternative media usage... as people fill their life with family and job, they use more easy to use media.
>
 
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