TheBigA said:
KB1OKL said:
calling it a beleaguered attempt to draw people back to radio.
That's the quote that bothers me. Where do they come up with that idea?
First of all, there's no need to "draw people back to radio," because they're already there. Perhaps they hoped to draw people back to AM, but we now know even new radios won't do that. The other fact is that you can't draw people back to radio when people aren't buying them.
I really don't think iBiquity's motivation was to "draw people back to radio." Maybe at one time, some in the industry thought or hoped that it might revive the declining fortunes of most of the AM band, considering the total lack of interest on the part of the FCC to do what is necessary. But I don't think it's on anyone's radar any more. Certainly not Bob Pittman's. His focus is mobile, and I think that's what everyone else is thinking about. You don't hear Pittman or Dickey disputing Pew's findings.
Having said all that, there are no real new technologies or products that ARE in fact aimed at drawing people to radio. The days of the pocket transistor, Walkman, and boom box are done. The CEA spends lots of time and money fighting radio. You can't have new excitement for radio when there are no new products featuring it. The phone has replaced the radio as device of choice. While some see the end of HD Radio as a great thing, it really isn't, because it means that there is no hope for improving the sound of AM radio. The FCC is content to let it die.
It's not that people are really leaving radio in droves, its that their attention is being split a million different ways now. TV was not the threat to radio that people thought it was, because it was still a trifecta of entertainment: moving pictures (TV/movies), music radio and phonograph/8-track recordings.
Nowadays it's TV/movie theaters/Netflix/Hulu/YouTube, streaming, mp3 player, satellite radio, the internet in general… all competing for face and ear time.
And let's be fair, I don't think ANYONE but the FCC thought HD would do anything for AM radio. Remember, it wasn't even designed for AM in the planning stages. They only cobbled together the disastrous scheme we have now to placate the Feds. HD was never meant to "save" AM specifically, just keep radio from losing more ears to other,
better sources of music and information.
IMHO radio has long ago ceased being a destination for all but the poorest of people. Ever since car radios began being made with tape decks, radio's dominating presence has been in decline. People still listen, by the hundreds of millions, but they now
prefer other means of entertainment. Radio just happens to be the avenue of least effort for most folks.
Poorer people are less like to have generous data plans on smart phones, or able to afford hundreds of bucks in digital downloads for music. They only have radio, and the quality of the advertisements on my local mainstream pop and hiphop and country stations seems to reflect this. There aren't ads for high end jewellery stores and BMW dealers and fancy clothing shops… it's Kia cars, barber shops, payday loan sharks and today I even recorded an aircheck with an adult novelty store ad. At least around here, country does better, but not by much. Replace "Chevy trucks" with "Kia" in the previous example. Not a big step up, in other words. Only NPR seems to be holding on to an affluent base of listeners.
AM of course fares worse for the most part. Almost all the major blowtorch news stations have FM companions now. The lesser market news/talk stations' commercials reflect their ageing demographics to a tee: boner pills, prostate pills, injury lawyers and all kinds of fly by night moneymaking schemes. The next step down is the dollar-a-holler outlets. Every market has one, some now have two or three or even four.
But maybe this isn't the end for radio, just a life-change. I think AM can continue to thrive (without HD) by serving minorities who might not otherwise get a broadcast voice: Immigrants who don't speak much English, religious programming, even community radio could flourish on a little flea power AM these days. FM will no longer be the go-to medium for mass audiences, but it'll always have a place (with or without HD) for those who are too poor or too tired of their own music, or better, who need information but can't be bothered to Google from their phones. Unfortunately it'll take completely undoing all the corporate gutting that's gone on, because you can't provide late breaking information when the station is run by a PC. You can't provide spontaneous interactive entertainment to music listeners when the host is voicetracked weeks ago from Denver.
Everyone who can afford better, of course, will find other outlets. They'll pay for Pandora or Spotify, and get their news from Twitter and Facebook.