5%. OK. 5% up from what? That has to be considered. And is it uniform across the country? That also has to be considered.So…It’s not 2008..we’re 16 years beyond the Great Recession.
We’re not in a Pandemic, either. What’s your point??
We have 5% nominal GDP Growth, the largest economy in the history of the planet, the most people employed at the highest wages, an all time high stock market with earnings up double digits and prices up 20%….thats the real non radio world. Take a peak outside studio, it’s different out there. So the real world, contrary to your insular observation, has recovered tremendously…
And yet..through it all…the “ad recession” for radio continues in perpetuity partying like it’s 2008 national recession and Pandemic forever…large radio groups go in and out of bankruptcy as often as I go in and out of my bathroom, and TV/Radio operators write down the value of their assets by the $Billions signaling PERMANENT structural decline.
This is what radio station OWNERS are saying in legal terms about what they OWN. Their words.
I don’t get your point, this is structural.
It's easy for statistics like these to be used, when they don't necessarily paint an accurate picture of what's happening in every sector of the economy.
You realize that the greatest GDP growth in the entire history of the United States was around 30% over one or two years? Looks like great numbers, doesn't it. But it was in the middle of the Great Depression -- 1936 or so. And after that surge in GDP growth, we were still in the Great Depression. We still had the bad unemployment numbers, and the same poverty rates. The effects of the 2008 crash remained for years afterwards. When an economy recovers, that recovery isn't always uniform across regions and sectors. Some sectors take a bigger hit than others, and take longer to rebound.
A lot of these stats you have given depend on context. And, you didn't mention inflation. You said wages are up. Yeah, true, but they still haven't kept up with inflation. Credit card debt, nationally, is over a Trillion dollars.
The Pandemic slammed the economy, and many of the effects of that Pandemic economy still linger today. A lot of small businesses went under, or are still close to going under. They were socked severely during the Pandemic and still are trying to get back to where they were before it hit. Large retailers like Walgreens and CVS are shutting down stores, due to a panoply of reasons, including increased online purchasing. There are several brick and mortar chains that are either shutting down, or shutting down stores.
That's also part of the economy. And many of those retailers either are or were advertisers on Radio. Walgreens used to be. I remember mastering their radio barter spots (and those for other national chains) in the 2000's. I don't think they advertise on Radio anymore, or if they do, I haven't heard the spots lately.
If you're in Boston, I'm sure that the economy there, just like here in Seattle, is probably better than much of the rest of the country year to year. But Radio is a national business, and ad revenues are down. They're also down in other, non-legacy media. The advertising industry itself, at least according to a graph on Statista, is stuck at 2012-2016 revenue levels, when accounting for inflation. So yeah, the economy is up in places, especially on Wall Street, but not so up everywhere on Main Street. And Radio is one of the media sectors taking the hit for it.
EDIT to add: in your last post, I do think you make some relevant points. But at the same time, I think the radio companies and experts are still up against a wall, with many factors over which they have no control. Here in Seattle a local-oriented, new type of AAA format was tried on KPNW, with local DJs (some with heritage in the market), with a lot of alt-rock music, something for which Seattle is known -- and even though they were trying something different, it failed. I'm sure that stations try new things all the time. Doesn't mean it will get the desired results.
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