WABC is the number one talk station in the nation because it's in the number one market, one three times larger than Philadelphia.
But look at the actual share, not number of listeners and it tells you a different story.
In New York, WABC is ranked 17th with a 2.7 rating. That's slightly less a share than WPHT and the fringe talkers get combined in Philadelphia, where it's about 3.0 (according to the May numbers).
Oh, that number also throws a monkey wrench into some of your beliefs too, doesn't it? In the months since WPHT announced its drifting away from syndicated conservative talk, it's started trending upwards. From 2.4 right before the April 9th announcement to 3.0 today. At the same time, WHYY has dropped from 3.9 to 2.8. Some of the moderates who were turned off by WPHT's stridency in recent years have been drifting home, just as I predicted would start happening.
But the real problem with your apples-to-cumquats comparison of WABC versus WPHT is your characterization of New York City as solidly Democratic. That's not so. 47% of New York City residents are registered Democrats, compared with 80% in Philadelphia. New York has had Republican Mayors for the past 20 years, Philadelphia hasn't had one since 1952. Philadelphia is far and away a more liberal and more Democratic city than New York is.
Again, you can't program Philadelphia based on New York. Or Baltimore, or Chicago, or any other market. Each market in the country is unique and needs to be approached uniquely.
The June book will be driven by curiosity. WWIQ will probably peak at around 3.0. July it goes through the floor. When the dust settles after the election, I still say 1.3 for WPHT and 1.0 for WWIQ. I think the other .7 will end up going back to WHYY.