umfan said:
I don't know about her returning to today. In Guthrie, they found someone who looks almost exactly like Katie did 15 years ago and is nearly as perky and, as you aptly note, it's not setting the world on fire.
No fault of Guthrie's, she's talented and doing what's asked of her, but tastes shift.
Not to mention, she'd want several orders of magnitude more money than Guthrie is getting with no guarantee that there would be additional revenue to cover it.
Morning shows are do-or-die. The money involved is astonishing. It's why $15 mil for Couric to anchor The CBS Evening News was a scandal but NBC happily (until things got bad) pays Matt Lauer $25 million to host Today.
NBC will do anything it can to get Today back to number 1. ABC will do anything it can to keep Good Morning America number 1.
What can NBC do? That's problematic. Morning teams are like family to viewers. It can take years to get anywhere with new faces, which is why the news anchor on the morning show often gets the hosting gig when it opens up...the audience already knows them. It's also why, when ABC didn't have the deep bench it needed, they turned to Charlie Gibson and Diane Sawyer...who, you could argue, put GMA in position to grab the ball if Today ever dropped it (there's no inherent magic in Stephanopoulos and Roberts other than that you're pretty sure they're not stabbing each other in the back).
If Katie Couric's agent is worth having, he's already talking with NBC about how their only shot at saving Lauer is Couric. But if Matt quits or gets canned before the end of Katie's talk show, skip it.
Plus, that's really leverage. Because it plays to ABC's desire to keep GMA number one. If they think there's a chance Couric could re-hab Lauer's image and push Today back into first place, even temporarily, it becomes worth their while to keep that from happening.
So, the girl who crashed and burned what Cronkite built and even Dan Rather couldn't destroy, whose talk show isn't living up to its pre-launch hype as an Oprah successor (or even a solid challenge to Ellen), and would likely be embarrassed in season 3 when Meredith Viera sucks all the air out of the room, suddenly has leverage for a sweetheart deal: Barbara Walters' place on The View, some primetime specials and very likely a nice, cushy run.
It costs ABC very little considering Walters is coming off the payroll, plays to Katie's strengths, and increases the odds that NBC will have to blow up Today and start over, having kept Lauer so long that they can't pull the Sawyer/Gibson trick (Gumbel? Brokaw? Pauley?). Probably they go for a Hail Mary pass with either Anderson Cooper or Ryan Seacrest, neither of whom is by any means a sure thing.