oldies76 said:
michael hagerty said:
If any song would cause only 1/300th of your audience to tune out, it would be the highest-testing record in history. That's a 99.77% positive. If that were true of "I Love You", it would be played more often than "Brown Eyed Girl".
It's just a bit of exaggeration, but I think you know the point I've been trying to make in the two threads, but that's fine.
Oldies76, other posters in the other thread blew you off as not listening to any fact that doesn't square with what you wish radio did as opposed to how it really works. I'm taking you seriously. If you throw out a figure, I assume you mean it, whether that's 1/300th of a percent or one listener offsetting however many tune out.
I played my first record on the radio 41 years ago as a 15 year old baby DJ. The criteria was what we thought sounded good and flowed nicely with the other songs. It was a small town, 3000 people. There were no ratings services. There also was no competition for ad dollars.
A few years later, when I got to an Arbitron-rated market as a programmer, I was a lot more careful but still took chances on records I believed in. But ratings were every six months. There was no reliable way to determine what indivdual songs might be causing tune-out, so we still focused on overall sound. There were also only 13 other stations and maybe 1 or 2 that our audience would consider an acceptable alternative.
Today that same market has 40 signals, not 14. There are probably 5 or 6 acceptable alternatives for a 25-54 year old adult, maybe more. And they're competing for the same advertising dollar.
And here's how PPM makes playing the wrong song risky:
Let's say 20 of your listeners are PPM participants and you play a record that has a 33% negative. You know you're risking a tune-out by one-third of your audience.
But...PPMs aren't assigned to listeners based on specific music research. So it's possible that 15 of your 20 PPM listeners are among the third of your audience that will tune out when that record comes on.
In raw numbers, one-third of your audience tunes out. But among the listeners who are the basis for your ratings, three-quarters...75%...of your audience pushes the button. That's what Arbitron sees and counts.
They go somewhere. Maybe they come back. Maybe they don't. Maybe your competition doesn't play a tune-out record for hours. Maybe they decide to whip out the iPod. Either way, you lose.
Again, Oldies76, every record has negatives. The only way to protect the ratings, revenue and jobs at stake is to play the songs with the lowest negatives possible. That's what music testing does, that's what stations do, and that's what you have repeatedly said they should abandon.