amfmsw said:
As I prep for another show, I'm looking for a few "Oh Wow"s for MY market. "Selfish One"-Jackie Ross, "Mind Body & Soul" -Flaming Ember, "When I Die" Motherlode, "There Is" Dells are considerations. The log is January light, and all these tunes were on station LPs in the 60's-70's.
They were local favorites THEN. Time to see the light of day again mixed with the usual.
Now, we know of the positive and neutral tune testing. For the sake of discussion, Let's say OK. Let's say 100 in an auditorium is still more vaualble than x# actual listeners. What MY point all along has been, although song A tests super well, alone, with it's refrain played...when it gets aired 5-6 times a week, and heard 2-3 times a week, 6-8 x a month after 45+ years (like "Satisfaction" or "Brown Eyed Girl") it has worn out it's welcome. (The original incarnation)WCBS-FM had a HUGE library rotation, and was #1 or 2 for years on end in the 80's-90's. Pepperred with many Local hits. Joe McCoy had the tunes, air talent and history...not just research.
If it's worn out its welcome, it won't test well.
CBS-FM was dumped because it stopped working (at least with the people and at the level CBS needed it to). Yes, I know they brought it back after the disaster that was "Jack", but it was and is a very different CBS-FM.
And as for local hits, there may be cities in this country that still have a stable population. But they're rare. A Pew study four years ago found that only 37% of adults of all ages have never left their home town or city. Among adults 30-49, it's 35%, the lowest percentage in any age group. However, people 50-65 and 65+ are only at 37%. It's 18-29 year olds, at 44%, that drive the average up.
That varies by region. In the Midwest, 46% of all adults say they've spent their entire life in one community (big or small). In the East, that drops to 38%, in the South to 36% and in the West to 30%.
Again, remember that the spike in those numbers comes young...18-29, so it's not especially good news for classic hits stations that want to play local hits.
Taking my home town of Los Angeles, 30% of adults of all ages in the West say they've lived in the same city all their lives. But apply that drop in the percentage among adults 30-49, and it's below 30%.
Now, that doesn't mean that just under 30% of the 30-49 year olds in Los Angeles are natives. It means that of the people born in Los Angeles between 1964 and 1983 who are still alive today, just under 30% stuck around. In the meantime, there's been an influx of other people in that age range into the city. In 1964, just over 7 million people lived in the L.A. metro. In 1983, about 11 million. Now, it's a shade over sixteen million.
So, in L.A. and most other cities, the further back you go, the fewer people are going to remember and relate to a local hit. Even in the Midwest, given the 18-29 spike, you're probably going to be under 40% before you factor in deaths and new arrivals to the city.
It's a pretty interesting look at the way we've changed. The pdf is here:
http://pewsocialtrends.org/files/2010/10/Movers-and-Stayers.pdf