DavidEduardo said:
Nothing proves that theory, either, as I pointed out in a previous post. If the stations that also have considerable historical sharing with WLS FM, or which have fairly comparable demographics, have either stayed the same or gone up (WDRV, for example). That would pretty conclusively isolate the issues to WLS FM alone, and divorce them from any baseball listening.
I really do not think that the fans of baseball are also fans of oldies. And WGN had no better a 25-54 book in June than it had in the April one... so the baseball argument fails on that count, too.
Well David, July PPMs are out and WLS-FM is back up to 7th (tied with WLIT) in the 25-54 demo and 14th in the 18-34. Focusing on 25-54, WLS-FM's biggest improvement was during PM drive and later. This just so happens to coincide with WGN's loss of listenership to Cubs games (given the horrible on-field performance of the Cubbies). WGN, in fact, is down to 15th overall in the 25-54 demo - though they are quite a bit stronger M-F mornings. WDRV, on the other hand, has remained steady.
A couple of observations here. For one thing, when listeners disappear, they go somewhere. In the case of May-June for WLS-FM, I have maintained that they've been going to WGN for Blackhawks and baseball. The latest PPMs do seem to bear that out. So we are not in agreement about that point.
Secondly, I am not sure how often you get to sample WDRV, but despite their positioning as 'classic hits' - they are really more of a sophisticated classic rocker. An excellent station, but it's questionable how much of a competitor they are to WLS-FM. Somewhat, to be sure, but the two formats are quite different. WDRV is heavily rock based while WLS-FM is purely pop-based gold (be it from the R&B side/Motown or rock singles).
This certainly isn't like Boston where classic hits WROR competes directly with WODS, only with a rock leaning CH format. If anything, WDRV competes more with WJMK and - to a lesser extent - WXRT. Again, Bonneville runs a fine operation at The Drive and the ratings show it. But those ratings aren't really at the expense of WLS-FM.
Despite this book, I still maintain that we need to get into Autumn before we make any judgments about who's doing well and who's not. But, I wouldn't dig WLS-FM's grave just yet. Citadel is still having a lot more success with 94.7 than they have had on that frequency in (literally) decades. Plenty of big-signaled FM's in Chicago do a whole lot worse.