DavidEduardo said:
oldies76 said:
Sure it will, even if it's just AM radio. Rock and roll has and will have a much different and favorable appeal to one's ears, than the music of the 1920's through the 40's, did since the 70's.
I don't recall that much, if any, 20's or 30's music was played on the radio from the 70's onwards. And even the 40's was limited to "Music for What's Left of Your Life" and Al Ham-like formats that had real issues attracting advertisers.
Some 30s stuff....huge Bing Crosby hits, mainly...showed up on MOYL in the 70s and KMPC in Los Angeles when it first launched its nostalgia format in '82. But it was gone by '85, and the station focused on 40s and 50s music.
Even XM and Sirius, which don't have the agency demo pressure, have never had a "30s on 3" channel. They've been around about 10 years and the 40s is as far back as the decades channels go.
But I think Oldies76's point was that rock and roll will have better staying power on air than music from the 20s or 30s did. And I have to disagree. Radio is an advertising medium. Any format that delivers an audience outside the 25-54 bracket has a very hard time attracting advertising.
I've done this on the L.A. board, but I don't believe I've done it here. When I was programming, a popular theory at the time was Peak Musical Awareness (PMA). Basically, it says that you are most tuned in to current music from the ages of 16-22. Secondarily, from 23-29, and third comes ages 9-15. Older than thirty, there's a sharp drop-off and even sharper younger than 9.
You don't win 25-54 by aiming at 54. Like archery, you aim for the center of the target. That's 39 and a half. And the songs for today's 39 and a half year old's PMA would be from 1988-1994. Those are their oldies.
Dial the wayback machine any farther and you end up with some startling numbers. Take the center of PMA, 19, and work from there:
1956's 19 year old is 74 now.
1966's 19 year old is 64.
1976's 19 year old is 54...and in the last year of desirability when it comes to sales demos.
1986's 19 year old is 44, and while still in the demo, he or she is five years older than the center of the demo.
So we're talking about the viability of Elvis, Buddy Holly, The Beach Boys, The Beatles and Motown when in fact, New Wave is to today as Big Bands were to New Wave.
Tempus has done fugited, my friends.