Fact: CC Cleveland had the opportunity to add a second spoken-word format to its roster a few years back, on what would instantly have been the second-best AM signal in the market after 1100.
Fact: Local management at CC Cleveland chose not to pursue that move (much to the relief of the people of greater Wheeling), and they chose not to pursue that move because they didn't think a second spoken-word station would be a money-maker.
Reasonably Informed Speculation: CC Cleveland still doesn't have a second spoken-word format that would be a significant money-maker. Fox Sports Radio ("Superstation KLAC," if you're Nate) ain't it, for sure. So if WTAM moves to 106.5, there's no money-maker to slide over to 1100 to replace it. This is a different scenario from, for instance, Bonneville's AM-to-FM moves - in Phoenix, they had a sports AM on a lousy signal that was able to upgrade to KTAR's former 620 spot; in Seattle, they snagged the ESPN Radio affiliation for KIRO's 710; in DC, they had the niche (but very profitable) Federal News Radio to upgrade to WTOP's old 1500.
General Observation: The urgency to move AM talkers to FM is strongest in markets that either (a) skew young (with fewer listeners even sampling AM); (b) have FM talk competition (Pittsburgh!), or (c) have no usable full-market AM signals (Washington, Atlanta). Cleveland (a) skews old, with listeners set in their ways and accustomed to tuning to 1100; (b) has no FM talk competition; and (c) has at least 1100 as a usable full-market AM, with 850 and 1220 high up on the "signal-respectability-o-meter."
Specific Observation: Compared to other big broadcasters, CC has been especially cautious about moving its AMs to FMs unless and until it's a screaming necessity. Here's the math: Can a WTAM simulcast on AM and FM (full or partial) produce enough revenue to exceed what's now being produced by WTAM on AM and WMVX on FM combined, or what would be produced by WTAM on AM and a "Gen-X" on FM combined? Is there reason to believe that demographic trends will make WTAM unviable on AM in the short term?
Reasonably Informed Conclusion: There's not going to be a WTAM-FM, and 106.5 will emerge with some sort of music format.
More Speculation: OMW's going to quote this on the Mighty Blog at some point soon...
